US CPI data is an important indicator for measuring inflation and price levels, and it is of great significance to the government, businesses, and consumers. The market expects the US May CPI data to be released on Wednesday evening (June 12th). Here are some expectations from institutions and analysts for the US May CPI data:

- JPMorgan: If the month-on-month core CPI growth rate exceeds 0.4%, all risk assets may be sold off, leading to a 1.5% to 2.5% drop in the S&P 500 index. However, the bank believes that this possibility is only 5%.
Citibank: Investors are preparing for the biggest single-day stock market fluctuation since the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in March 2023, as the Fed's decision day and CPI release day approaches.
- New York Fed: According to its Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for May 2024, respondents' inflation expectations for different time horizons in the United States have diverged. The median one-year inflation expectation has decreased from 3.3% in April to 3.2%; the three-year inflation expectation remains unchanged at 2.8%; while the five-year measure has risen from 2.8% to 3.0%, the last time it recorded 3% was in August 2023.
- Market expectations: the core CPI in the United States is expected to rise by 0.3% month-on-month in May, and the overall CPI will remain at 3.4% on an annual basis, with the core indicator easing slightly to 3.5%.

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