#降息会引领币圈大牛市吗？

If interest rates can be cut in September, the bull market is really not far away, and speculation expectations are also coming soon!
The Fed may start cutting interest rates in September
Adrian Cooper said, "Our expectation is that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates in the second half of this year, perhaps in September. But this largely depends on the changes in potential inflation, especially relative to wage growth. In recent years, labor inflation expectations have risen rapidly, which has surprised the Fed and many central banks. This means that workers are not only seeking pay increases to compensate for past higher-than-expected inflation, but also seeking pay increases because they believe that inflation may remain high."
I believe the Fed wants to see decisive evidence that the process of inflation slowing down will continue, not only overall inflation, but also core inflation will return to the level of 2% before truly preparing for a substantial interest rate cut. Many people believe that tight monetary policy will lead to a significant slowdown in the US economy, but with the rise in interest rates, the US launched significant fiscal stimulus measures last year, such as the inflation reduction bill and the chip bill, which largely offset the impact of the US rate hike.
In addition, American consumers continued to spend excess savings last year, although this process may now have ended, but I believe the US economy is still healthy, and it is unlikely to see a significant adjustment in the US economy, and the US seems to be achieving a soft landing. This allows the Fed to be cautious in its monetary policy and take time to make interest rate decisions. The US labor market remains fairly healthy, and business investment is also quite healthy, driven by various tax measures and new technologies.