[The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 37%] Golden Finance reported that according to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 63%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 37%. The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by November by 50 basis points is 37.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 75 basis points is 47.4%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 100 basis points is 14.8%.