BTC trend prediction after New Year's Day: How will it perform in January? Historical data analysis

As we enter the early stages of 2025, the market performance of Bitcoin (BTC) has once again caught the attention of investors. Yesterday, BTC fell to as low as $91,540, but there are signs of a rebound recently, with the price even reaching $96,258 before midnight. Despite subsequent selling pressure causing a price pullback to $93,829, the 24-hour gain still remains at 1.73%. The market is still in the midst of the New Year holiday, and there may be a period of consolidation. However, if BTC fails to break below the previous low, it may once again challenge the key level of breaking through $100,000.
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BTC January Historical Trend: Exploring the trend from the data, we can find some clues about the performance in January over the past 12 years. According to Coinglass data, from 2013 to 2024, BTC experienced 12 fluctuations in January, with 6 increases and 6 decreases. The specific gains are as follows:

2013: +44.05%
2023: +39.63%
2020: +29.95%
In contrast, the three largest declines were:
2015: -33.05%
2018: -25.41%
2016: -14.83%

In these 12 years, the overall average increase in January is 3.13%, which seems to have no clear direction. However, if we consider the years of the US presidential transition (such as 2021, 2017, 2014), the data shows an interesting trend: except for a slight decline in 2017, other years have basically shown an upward trend. Considering this, we can't help but ask, after Trump possibly returns to office on January 20th this year, will it once again drive the market trend of BTC?

Global economic and market fluctuations: Investors need to remain vigilant, however, it is worth noting that the US stock market is currently in a downturn. If this trend continues, BTC may also face some selling pressure. The increased market uncertainty, especially the risk of short-term fluctuations, also requires investors to be more cautious. With the changing global economic environment, the trend of BTC may also be influenced by more external factors.

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How to seize opportunities in the volatility?
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The above content is for information sharing only and does not constitute any investment advice!
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