#BTC重返$10万，后续走势如何？

Overall market observation, $BTC and altcoins rise together. BTC's market share increased by 1.35 percentage points, while the altcoin index rose from 55 to 59, indicating a bias towards optimism in the market, with both mainstream coins and altcoins rising simultaneously. This phenomenon usually reflects the market's 'greed' sentiment, but it is also important to note that as the gains increase, profit-taking pressure may appear at any time.
The increase in the total market value of cryptocurrencies and the "greed" shown by the index indicate a relatively strong market confidence at present. However, a surge in greedy sentiment usually also means increased potential risks, so attention should be paid to subsequent selling pressure.
The rebound after the current pullback is a strong rebound, and there is a high probability of reaching new highs in the future. However, it should be noted that this rebound may be affected by external macro factors such as non-farm data and political events.
Open long positions when the price retraces to the low level, especially focusing on the 100500-101000 zone. If the price holds steady, the target of 103500 or even higher can be reached. The stop loss should be placed below the important support level.
Non-farm data will directly affect market risk sentiment and the trend of the US dollar index. If the data is positive for risk assets, BTC and ETH are expected to gain further momentum; otherwise, it may increase short-term downward pressure.
The potential benefits of Trump's inauguration on January 20th have been largely digested by the market, but unexpected stimulus measures could still cause short-term volatility.
Although the market is dominated by greed, there may be significant selling pressure at high levels (especially when BTC is approaching 104800). It is advisable to set strict stop losses to avoid chasing higher prices.
Macro uncertainty: Both non-farm data and political events may bring about significant market volatility, so leverage should be used with caution.
In the short term, the trend of BTC still has further room for upward movement, but the market has entered a key area, and caution should be exercised against the risk of a high-level pullback. In terms of operation, focus on opening long positions at support levels, strictly control risks, and patiently wait for high-probability entry opportunities.