#TRUMP After Trump attended the BTC conference last time, Japan raised interest rates three days later, causing a market crash. This time, Trump is officially inaugurated, and three days later, Japan is raising interest rates again. Will the market crash again?
I guess most people's thinking is carved like this, after all, the rhythm is too similar... But what I want to say is that this way of thinking is fundamentally incorrect, because if you look back carefully, the Bank of Japan's rate hike at the end of July 24 was beyond market expectations... At that time, the market's psychological preparation was completely inadequate. Unexpected macro events would lead to unexpected price behavior. And now, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has been mentioned many times by everyone, even those who don't pay attention to macro. So essentially, this expectation has already been priced in; Normal interest rate hikes will not have a significant negative impact on the market, at most it will be a correction within a range. What you need to worry about is whether there is a possibility of unexpected interest rate hikes, or another choice of not raising interest rates? Or even a signal indicating continuous interest rate hikes? The direction of such events is the main factor causing significant fluctuations. But Jili brother still insists that if there is negative news, it is a good opportunity to buy more❗#BTC #ETH #GateioInto11 #BOME
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#TRUMP After Trump attended the BTC conference last time, Japan raised interest rates three days later, causing a market crash. This time, Trump is officially inaugurated, and three days later, Japan is raising interest rates again. Will the market crash again?
I guess most people's thinking is carved like this, after all, the rhythm is too similar...
But what I want to say is that this way of thinking is fundamentally incorrect, because if you look back carefully, the Bank of Japan's rate hike at the end of July 24 was beyond market expectations...
At that time, the market's psychological preparation was completely inadequate. Unexpected macro events would lead to unexpected price behavior. And now, the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has been mentioned many times by everyone, even those who don't pay attention to macro. So essentially, this expectation has already been priced in;
Normal interest rate hikes will not have a significant negative impact on the market, at most it will be a correction within a range. What you need to worry about is whether there is a possibility of unexpected interest rate hikes, or another choice of not raising interest rates? Or even a signal indicating continuous interest rate hikes? The direction of such events is the main factor causing significant fluctuations.
But Jili brother still insists that if there is negative news, it is a good opportunity to buy more❗#BTC #ETH #GateioInto11 #BOME