Market Insights: A Critical Look at the Current Short Position

The current short position appears challenging, but there’s potential for it to break even soon. Here are two critical observations in this wave of shorting:

1. Market Reaction to Anticipated News:
The market, which had been optimistic about potential positive news from Trump, experienced a decline instead of the expected rise. This deviation highlights the volatility and unpredictability of market sentiment.

2. Lack of Movement in Smaller Assets:
The rise in currency value seems fueled by an overall market expansion ("the overflow of the big cake"). However, assets below the MA20—especially smaller or less prominent ones—have shown little to no upward movement, signaling caution.

3. Unilateral Decline Post-Trump News:
Despite the buildup of expectations, Trump-related news has not triggered a rally. Instead, the market has witnessed a unilateral decline, reinforcing bearish sentiment.

While the situation is tough, these key factors suggest that careful timing and analysis might turn the tide for this short position.

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