# 利率

💡Information
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September is 97.3%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is only 2.7%. The probability of keeping the rate unchanged in October is 1.2%, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 42.7%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 56.2%. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡Information
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 94.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 5.4%. In December, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is only 0.6%, the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 16%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 83.4%. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡Information
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September has risen to 11.7%. According to the CME "FedWatch", the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 0, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 88.3%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged in October is 0.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 36.2%. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡Information
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October has reached 97.8%. Meanwhile, the probability of maintaining the interest rate unchanged in December is 0%. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡News
The CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in October is 89.8%, while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 10.2%. The probability of a rate cut in December is also increasing. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡News
The Federal Reserve's dot plot shows that future interest rate expectations have been lowered to 3% - 3.6%. The median expected federal funds rates for 2025, 2026, 2027, and the long term are 3.6%, 3.4%, 3.1%, and 3%, respectively. #美联储 #利率 #CPI

💡Information
The Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle is expected to last until 2027, with the terminal rate possibly dropping to 3.1%. Weak economic activity and the labor market indicate a need for more monetary easing, and further rate cuts are anticipated this year and in 2026. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡Information
Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian suggested that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting, emphasizing that decisions should be based on labor data. #美联储 #降息 #利率

💡Information
The possibility of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in October has risen to 94%, up significantly from 71.6% prior to the announcement. #美联储 #降息 #利率

🚨【Powell's Latest Remarks: Weakening Employment, Elevated Inflation, "No One Is Talking About Rate Hikes Anymore"】
🚨Just finished watching Powell's press conference this time, and the overall impression is summarized in one sentence: quite a bit of pressure, and the Federal Reserve is also afraid to make reckless moves. He said that the US employment situation is really weakening now: companies are less eager to hire, people are having a harder time finding jobs than before, and the unemployment rate has already reached 4.4%. Although inflation has come down significantly, the core PCE is st