# 宏观

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📘 Full Timeline of the Fed's Four Rounds of QE (from official data)
#美联储 #QE #宏观
🟦 QE1 (2008–2010)
🔥 Firefighting the Financial Crisis
Start: 2008/11/25
Buy: MBS + Agency Debt + Treasuries
End: 2010/03/31
Scale: Approx. $1.725 trillion
🟩 QE2 (2010–2011)
📉 Continued Support Amid Weak Recovery
Start: 2010/11/03
Buy: $600 billion in long-term Treasuries
End: 2011/06
🟨 QE3 (2012–2014)
🚀 The Most "Open-Ended" in History
Start: 2012/09/13 ($40B MBS/month)
Increase: 2012/12/12 (Total $85B/month)
Taper: 2013/12/18
End: 2014/10/29
🟥 QE4 (2020–2022)
💉 Unlimited Easing During the Pandemic
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Brothers, let's review the impact of Japan's interest rate hikes on Bitcoin!📉🔥
The core destructive power of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hikes actually comes from the "Yen Carry Trade" closing: for many years, Japan's ultra-low/negative interest rates allowed global institutions and speculators to borrow yen at almost zero cost, convert to USD, and invest in high-yield risk assets, including $BTC, US stocks, tech stocks, etc., totaling trillions of dollars!💰
Once Japan raises interest rates, the cost of borrowing yen increases + the yen appreciates, squeezing the arbitrage space, and every
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Tonight's non-farm payrolls have already pushed the market sentiment to the limit.
The current consensus is:
Unemployment rate at 4.4%, non-farm job gains around 50,000.
But the real danger isn't in the numbers themselves, but in—liquidity is too poor.
Once the data clearly signals a negative surprise, in this environment of insufficient depth and full leverage, BTC is likely not just "a correction," but a direct stall and plunge.
The most ideal scenario is actually just one: neither good nor bad news.
What’s more exciting is that tonight not only releases November data but also makes up for O
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The current relative strength index RSI value of Bitcoin is 37.79, and the recent drop below its signal line indicates that Bitcoin is currently at a bearish level, and the bears have successfully taken control of the market. This is a potential for investors looking to take advantage of the current market conditions. profitable buying opportunities. However, the current encryption market is still under the control of bears, and the price recovery still has a long way to go. It is worth noting that $3.6 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts will expire today, including $2.3 b
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First let's quickly address yesterday's macroeconomic news. The U.S. data released yesterday and Thursday once again showed economic resilience. On June 29 local time, the final revised data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce showed that the U.S. GDP grew by 2% year-on-year in the first quarter of 2023, an upward revision from the previously released revised data. 0.7%, beating market expectations of 1.4%. Due to the strong growth of consumer spending, the final GDP growth rate in the first quarter was revised higher than expected. In the first quarter, the growth rate of the PCE pric
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