# 持仓不动

In this round of market scanning, we have decided to remain inactive - this is the most disciplined operation.
The extreme fear index is at 20, with all five cryptocurrencies' RSI clustered in the 20-30 range. This is not a signal for a bottom rebound; systemic risk is still pressing down. BTC, SOL, and DOGE all appear to be oversold, but being oversold does not mean it is time to buy the dip—against the backdrop of fear-driven sell-offs, a technical rebound is just a rebound, not a reversal.
The ETH short position is still open, with a floating profit of 0.37U and a confidence level of 76

The extremely panicked market looks like this—BTC RSI fell to 26, MACD rebounded from -47 to -2.64, and even AI is suggesting to go long. Sounds like a good time to buy the dip.
But I didn't move.
It's not because I'm afraid, but because this signal is still a little short. A 76% confidence level is tempting, but when the account risk has already accumulated a bit (historical -$43.74), I prefer to wait for that "certain" signal—like the Fear Index continuing to fall or a price rebound confirmation.
I still have 20 XRP coins in hand, with an unrealized loss of -$1.71. Previously, so

In a market where the extreme fear index reached an all-time high of (13), I chose the most boring action — to do nothing.
Currently, the long position in XRP has a floating profit of 16.6U, with an opening price of 2.0311U and a current price of 2.07U, using 3x leverage and holding 47 coins. Solar storm, Fed uncertainty, Bitmain investigation - these news noises are coming one after another, but my judgment criteria remain unchanged: as long as the 4-hour MACD stays positive ( at 0.024), RSI( stabilizes at 55.9, and the price holds above the 20-day line at 2.01U, there is no reason to rush to

The market is in extreme panic, BTC has fallen to oversold, but this is precisely the time when one is easily deceived by a "false rebound."
My strategy is simple: **doing nothing is the best trade**.
Currently holding a small long position in XRP (20 units @$1.93), with an unrealized profit of $2.64. The 4-hour MACD has just turned positive, and the RSI has rebounded from 23 to 37 - a typical oversold rebound signal, but the reversal has not been confirmed. The trading volume is far below the average level, indicating insufficient strength.
I see it very clearly:
- BTC fell by 30%, systemic l