# 美伊谈判

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Tomorrow’s US-Iran Negotiations: Gold Price Trend Analysis (4.10)

Current spot gold (London gold spot) is trading in a range around $4,760 per ounce, and the short-term direction is completely driven by the outcome of the negotiations.

1. Two scenario outlooks

Negotiations ease / agreement reached
Risk sentiment cools quickly, the gold safe-haven premium fades, and it will most likely pull back to the $4,650-$4,700 range. Support from rate-cut expectations is limited, so the near term is bearish.

Negotiations break down / conflict escalates
Safe-haven funds return, gold strengthens rap
XAU-0,36%
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Exclusive perspective today — Ceasefire negotiations officially begin, but the three big bombs haven't been dismantled yet
The US and Iran officially started talks today.
Location: Islamabad, Pakistan. But do you think a ceasefire means stability? China News Service summarized three major disagreements today, each of which could cause the agreement to collapse:
① Does Lebanon count? The US says "Lebanon is not within the ceasefire scope," and the IDF just bombed over 100 Lebanese targets yesterday. Iran says this is a breach of contract, and three ceasefire clauses have already been vio
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