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Anthropic's $1.5T Valuation Odds Drop 10 Points to 67% in 24 Hours After Kimi K3 Release

Prediction Market AI Industry News

2026-07-19 14:19:13

ANTHROPIC-1.86%

POLYMARKET2.65%

According to Polymarket, on July 18, the probability of Anthropic reaching a $1.5 trillion valuation by end-2026 fell from 77% to 67%, declining approximately 10-11 percentage points in a single day. The market sentiment shift followed the release of Kimi K3 by Moonshot AI. The prediction market contract tracks whether Anthropic's valuation will hit or exceed $1.5 trillion by December 31, 2026. It is important to note that the declining probability reflects traders' revised expectations of the target, not an actual 11% reduction in Anthropic's real valuation. Anthropic last completed a $65 billion Series H round on May 28, valuing the company at $965 billion.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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