According to Jin10 on July 6, BNY Mellon's senior macro strategist Jeff noted that softening U.S. labor data and improved inflation figures have reduced the Federal Reserve's urgency for further tightening. However, this does not address whether growth slowdown remains manageable or if policy expectations have been overcorrected.
Jeff highlighted that global narratives are becoming less uniform. In the U.S., the key question is whether the Fed can maintain patience without inflation risks re-emerging, while in Europe, policy discussions have shifted from emergency inflation management to economic growth, fiscal credibility, and defense financing.