Gibraltar Launches World's First Dedicated Prediction-Market Regulatory Regime on July 13

According to Gibraltar's Ministry for Justice, Trade and Industry, on July 13, the territory launched the Prediction Market Regulations 2026, establishing the world's first dedicated regulatory framework for prediction-market operators. All event contracts require approval from the Gambling Authority and must be clear, objectively settleable, and resistant to manipulation.

Two operators will operate under the new regime: ADI Predictstreet, the official prediction-market partner of the FIFA World Cup 2026, and Wire Markets, the platform of California-based WagerWire, which targets a launch in August. "This is a landmark moment for the prediction-market industry," WagerWire co-founder Travis Geiger said, adding that the framework "gives operators the clarity they need to build for the long term."