Michael Burry's Shorting Record: 82% Win Rate Over Two Years, But Fails Twice on Nvidia

According to BlockBeats, Michael Burry shorted Micron Technology at $1,051.87 on July 3. SEC 13F filings show that out of 11 put options disclosed over the past two years, 9 hit their directional targets, yielding an 82% win rate overall. However, performance is severely split: Burry's 8 shorts on non-AI and Chinese stocks, including Alibaba, JD.com, and Pinduoduo, all succeeded. In contrast, AI-related shorts achieved only a 33% hit rate, with two Nvidia shorts both failing—NVDA rose 46% during Q1 2025 and another 4% in Q3.

Burry has expanded AI sector short positions targeting Tesla, Applied Materials, Caterpillar, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX. He cited South Korea's recent chip cluster investment plans as "the beginning of the end" for the AI boom, questioning whether expanding capital expenditure will generate commensurate returns. Burry maintains his bearish stance on Nvidia through put options and remains skeptical of AI valuations.