YangGuangbit

Yang Guang bit | June 24 $ETH Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Today's Ideas
Entry Timing: Price rebounds to the 1685-1695 range
Adding to short positions: Surge to the 1705-1715 range
Stop loss set above 1730
Tiered Take Profit
First target for short positions: 1655-1635
Second target for short positions: 1635-1600
Breakout adding positions below 1580
Core Conclusion
ETH dipped to 1633.33 low yesterday and then experienced an oversold rebound, with short-term profit-taking by bears driving a slight price recovery, but the major downward trend has not reversed. The area above 1690-1710 is a dense zone of trapped sellers, and the current rebound volume continues to shrink, driven entirely by short covering, lacking new funds to support it, with very poor sustainability. Coupled with ongoing net outflows from ETH spot ETF funds, no new institutional inflows, and macro liquidity suppression still in place, this rebound is purely a technical correction. Today's operations continue to focus on shorting at rebound highs, with light positions at lower levels to chase short-term longs, and to seize the certainty of pullbacks with the trend. $ETH ‌
#TradFiCFD黄金大师赛

Yang Guang bit | June 24 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Core Conclusion
BTC dipped to a low of 61883 yesterday and then experienced an oversold correction rebound, short-term profit-taking by bears led to a slight price recovery, but the major downward trend has not reversed. The area of 63000-63500 above is a dense zone of trapped selling pressure, and the current rebound volume continues to shrink, entirely driven by short covering, lacking incremental funds to support, raising doubts about sustainability. Macro liquidity suppression remains, and no new positive catalysts have emerged in the market; this rebound is purely a technical correction. Today's operations mainly focus on shorting at the rebound high, with light positions at low levels to chase short-term longs, and to seize the certainty of pullback profits in line with the trend.
Today’s Strategy
Entry Timing: Price rebounds to the 63000-63300 range
Adding to short positions: When surging to the 63600-63900 range
Stop-loss setting: Above 64200
Tiered Take Profit
First target for shorts: 62300-62000
Second target for shorts: 61500-61000
Breakout adding positions: Below 61000
Market Logic Breakdown
1. News Aspect: Macro suppression continues, positive catalysts are fully exhausted
The Fed’s hawkish expectations continue to ferment, the timing of rate cuts within the year has been pushed back again, the US dollar index remains volatile at high levels, and macro liquidity tightening continues to suppress global risk asset valuations. Previously supporting the rebound, the US-Iran geopolitical easing benefits have been fully priced in by the market, with no new large-scale positive catalysts, and market sentiment has returned to caution. The rebound lacks fundamental support.
2. Capital Aspect: Lack of incremental funds, weak foundation for rebound
US spot BTC ETF inflows remain weak, institutions have not entered the market to buy the dip, and this rebound is entirely driven by passive short covering, with no new buying support, making the upward foundation very fragile. Derivatives market funding rates have slightly increased but remain low, open interest growth is limited, and bullish chasing is seriously insufficient. The rebound height is limited, and trapped and profit-taking selling pressure could be released again at any time. $BTC ‌#以太坊基金会重组降本

Yang Guang bit | June 22 $BTC Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Core Conclusion
BTC has experienced a strong rebound after hitting the low of 62281, with short-term oversold funds concentrated on bottom-fishing sentiment release, but the pressure from the historical dense trap zone at 67000-67300 is huge. This round of rebound is a technical correction, and the large-scale downtrend has not been fully reversed. Combining the easing of geopolitical expectations + large on-chain capital movements, short-term bulls and bears are increasingly competing. The operation mainly adopts a low-buy approach, with phased layout of short positions at high levels, and a range-bound oscillation strategy.
Today’s Strategy
Entry Timing
Short at 65300-65600 after rebound;
Buy the dip at 66000-66300.
Stop-loss setting: above 66600
Tiered Take Profit
First target: 64300-64500
Second target: 63800-64000
Third target: 63500-62800
Market Logic Breakdown
1. News (Geopolitical Core)
Expectations of easing US-Iran negotiations have reignited, market risk aversion sentiment has decreased, and funds are flowing back into risk assets, which is the core driver of this round of BTC oversold rebound.
The expectation of de-escalation in Middle East conflicts has increased, the US dollar index has weakened in the short term, providing a valuation repair window for cryptocurrencies;
The Fed’s rate cut expectation remains delayed, and macro pressure in the medium to long term still exists. This rebound is only a sentiment correction and does not have a foundation for sustained large-scale upward movement;
No sudden extreme negative news, but geopolitical benefits are only short-term pulse effects. After the benefits are fully priced in, funds and technical factors will still dominate.
2. On-chain & Capital Data
Exchanges continue to see high outflows of BTC, with low-level chips transferred to cold wallets for long-term accumulation. Support at 63000-62000 is solid, and the short-term downside space is locked;
US spot BTC ETF shows a slight inflow, institutions are bottom-fishing in the short term, but the net inflow scale is limited, and no trend of increased positions has formed;
Derivatives market: After the sharp decline, long leverage was heavily liquidated. This rebound was driven by retail bottom-fishing + passive short covering. Above 66000, there is heavy trapped volume, and selling pressure at the high is very strong;
Large transfers increased over 24 hours, major holders are taking profits in batches during the rebound, and hidden selling pressure at high levels continues. $BTC ‌#美伊谈判第一轮结束

Yang Guang bit | June 22 $ETH Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Today's Outlook
Entry Point: Price rebounds to the 1750-1760 range
Adding to Short Positions: Rises to the 1775-1785 range
Stop Loss: Above 1805
Tiered Take Profit
First Target: 1720-1730
Second Target: 1700-1705
Breakout Add Positions: Below 1680
Core Conclusion
ETH started a oversold rebound from the low of 1700.37, rising intraday to around 1759.35. The short-term correction driven by short covering has largely played out. The area above 1760-1780 is a historically dense resistance zone. Coupled with continuous net outflows from ETH spot ETFs and no new institutional inflows, this rebound is mainly emotional repair, and the major downtrend has not reversed. After the spike, selling pressure will gradually re-emerge. The strategy is to firmly short at the rebound highs, avoid chasing longs, and play the certainty of a pullback market.
Market Logic Breakdown
1. News Factors: Macro suppression persists, no new positive catalysts
The market has fully priced in the geopolitical easing expectations between the US and Iran. The rebound driven by sentiment is nearing its end, with no new large-scale positive support to sustain the rally.
The Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance continues, with rate cut expectations delayed for the year. The US dollar index remains high, putting pressure on risk asset valuations. As a high-volatility asset, ETH cannot rise independently.
2. On-Chain & Capital Aspects: Lack of incremental funds, selling pressure gradually appears
ETH spot ETF continues to see net outflows. Institutions have not entered the market on the rebound. The recent rise is driven entirely by retail bottom-fishing and passive short covering, indicating weak foundation and questionable sustainability.
Above 1760, there is a concentration of trapped positions from earlier, and after rebounding into this zone, selling pressure is released. Large transfers on-chain increase, with major holders gradually cashing out during the rebound.
Derivatives market funding rates have slightly turned positive but with limited magnitude. Traders are reluctant to chase high, and there is no sign of a short squeeze. After the rebound momentum diminishes, the market will return to a downward trend.

Yang Guang bit | June 22 $SOL Precise Strategy Full Trend Control
Today's Ideas
Entry Timing
Short Position First Entry: Price rebounds to the 74.5-75.0 range
Short Position Additional Entry: Rushes higher to the 75.5-76.0 range
Stop Loss Setting: Above 76.8
Tiered Take Profit
First Target: 72.5-73.0
Second Target: 71.0-71.5
Breakout Add Positions: Below 69.5
Core Conclusion
SOL started a oversold rebound from the 68.68 low, surged to around 75.00 intra-day and faced resistance, short-term short covering momentum has been fully released. The area of 75-76 above is a dense strong resistance zone from previous positions, combined with the overall lack of new capital in altcoins and the weak rebound of the main market BTC, this rebound is only a correction of oversold sentiment, the larger downward trend has not reversed. After the surge, selling pressure will gradually appear, and the operation should firmly short on rebounds, avoid chasing longs, and focus on the certainty of a pullback market. $SOL ‌#我的Gate交易时刻