WaterExpoChaos

vip
Age 1.5 Year
Peak Tier 0
Former research dog in science and technology → now a full-time contract hunter, I have deconstructed 90% of the trading theories on the market using a research mindset, ultimately creating a system that integrates institutional money + order flow... Daily musings on market data highlights, focusing mainly on the European and American markets.
A-shares 6/1-6/5 This Week's Hotspot Analysis + Portfolio
Let AI read the brokerage and investment bank research reports from Friday + the weekend...
The opinions are very consistent... Currently, the market is shifting towards EPS realization-driven...
The key is who can turn orders and price increases into profits...
AI servers, PCB/CCL, optical modules, storage, ABF/packaging substrates, switching chips, liquid cooling, power supplies, and tantalum capacitors...
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If you draw this yellow line...
What do you think about the current daily trend of BTC?
I think the conclusion is obvious....
BTC-0.91%
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CrispStars:
Shall we continue?
Today’s market...
This market... I initially thought 75k would bounce a bit... But once the Middle East conflict started, it immediately dropped to the 73k level...
I have to go out now, so I’ll quickly write this...
Now we are back at the yellow threshold zone of the order book (73k) (Figure 2)... This is another short-term wave trading opportunity...
But from the order book (Figure 3)
Now the whales are also quite chaotic; the large whales that were at 73k today are now densely spoofing, mainly hanging around 72~73k and 71.5k.
If we interpret this using the previous 14% symmetrical retrac
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Friday's two key levels before options expiration:
75k, put wall, potential support. But also the most negative GEX area... the biggest pain point... So it's best to attract support here at the biggest pain point, making it a support level...
If 75k can't hold, it could accelerate downward...
Above 80k call wall + GEX quagmire... Before Friday's options expiration, it's unlikely to break above 80k...
(Combined with various on-chain short-term cost pressures)
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Today’s Market
It's so boring to watch the market move, so today let's talk about the overall trend of recent market conditions...
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1. Recent reasons for the downward trend: After the MSTR earnings report day, since Michael Saylor hinted at possibly selling BTC, the probability of MSTR selling BTC by the end of this year on Poly has jumped from 12% before the earnings report to over 70%.
So from the day after the earnings call, American ETF funds have been shifting from net inflows to net outflows. Basically, they have been continuously net selling until now.
But the
BTC-0.91%
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Yesterday, 76k long position ✅
Today at the seaside~ Will update again when free
The main trend still refers to the previous chain. Will update more details later
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今日盘面
BTC走的有点弱啊... 沃什的发言叠加川普周末可能又要在伊朗搞事情...
从78k到74k这一波 75.7k一波入场模型没给TP1的机会损了.. 现在在做 74.2k这波的入场模型 先激进tp1一波,剩下再观察 (图2)
图1 从大方向看.. 这波回踩超过了之前的小时级别的6-7%的回踩(绿箭头), 那就往更大周期看.. 预备蓝线级别的回踩.. 这个不一定一波就能到,可能在接下来到月底慢慢下去 这个还需要之后链上的报告确认..
图3 现在这里下方有订单簿不平衡的色带..
虽然只是黄绿,阈值还不是很大.. 我还是希望这里能往上弹一波.. 把这个74.2k的入场模型走完..
图4 周末日内继续盯的机会看2个多空被套区间..
一个是上面的76.7k~78k附近。 如果能给机会上去的话是一个盈亏比很好的高空机会。 这里币安和bybit都有大量多头被套 叠加巨大POC..
低多的机会还是继续看74.2k附近的三探.. 今天2探的时候bybit有大量散户在这里追空被套..
如果再次给到这附近的话他们解套跑路会有一波买盘..
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Today’s Market
Today doesn’t feel very good to squat... Maybe it will be a day of consolidation and volatility... As shown in Figure 2
Recently, the on-chain API has been down, and on-chain data is also unavailable...
Figure 1 Order Book
The buy orders for spot below are still at 76k and 76.7k, while the sell pressure above is still at 79k (78.5~79k combined with a large volume, need to pay attention)
The contract remains unchanged, indicating a range of oscillation around 76.5k and above 78k...
Ethereum around 2090 is worth watching, with a large wave of 50k ETH contract orders...
ETH-1.64%
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76350 has once again posted a contract buy order of over 3000+ BTC.....
Target brother's short position was not filled last time.. Did he repost it here?
Just happened to see a bullish idea for today..
Either now here, with a very narrow stop, to take this 76359 order of over 3000+...
Or still wait around 75.5k, combining liquidity and demand zones..
BTC-0.92%
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77,750 BTC contracts, 2,000 buy orders..
Is Target Ge about to TP?
BTC-0.92%
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Today I won't be posting the daily market overview... Over the weekend, I will share this week's on-chain analysis..
Recently, I've hit some snags in handling these tens of thousands of research reports... It all started with a fairly grand idea, aiming for a structure like this: Natural language demand -> LLM breaks down the demand -> LLM fetches data -> validation -> fetch more if needed -> start analysis after fetching -> finish analysis and begin writing, and so on..
The initial version was a manually crafted plan → Act → Observe → Reflect state machine.. I also tried LangGraph, and found
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Coffee machine hand-pulled latte art is the best ever... I was planning to mock it for pulling it crooked...
But it turned out they pulled a swan...
No updates today because I was at the exhibition.
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What the heck.....
Today, a big holder actually bought 4,750 BTC worth of 75k puts expiring on May 29, and also opened 60,000 ETH, with 2,100 puts expiring on May 29 as well..
All the rights ended up costing over $6 million....
Are they betting on a drop?
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Today’s Market
The liquidity + absorption at 80k for this low-long position—from the weekend until yesterday, it finally got absorbed.. This wave first eats 1000 points..
Right now, the upper side still appears to be suppressed by the target guy’s 3000 BTC sell orders at 81,275.. (Figure 1)
During the Asian session, it absorbed some buy orders during the day, and there were about 1000 actual transactions, so this isn’t spoofing.. There are still 2000 left suppressing..
Just now during the European trading session as well, a large wave of aggressive buy orders was absorbed—once it was f
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Today’s Market
Nothing much good has happened from yesterday to today... Continuing to wait...
Overall, there are no significant changes...
Figure 1: The order book is the same as yesterday... Sell pressure is still below 83k. The buy orders below are also still below 80k. The buy orders are not very large, so there is no imbalance band appearing below now.
The contract is also roughly in the same range as the spot. The only new addition is contract 81275, suspected to be close to 3,000 BTC sell orders from Target哥... which suppressed the entire Asian session today.
We need to wait f
BTC-0.92%
SFP-2.81%
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This week, five research reports and timing signals all indicate a buy for U.S. stocks... After review, the main recommendation is still SM... It is an oil stock...
This one was actually promoted two weeks ago... Then from 28 to 31, reaching TP1.
This week, it once again entered the recommended range... The underlying logic is, do you think $90 oil prices can be maintained into Q3?
Stock selection process: Seeking Alpha high-scoring stocks -> Local research reports + local timing agent scoring (Figure 1) -> Opus 4.7 (Figures 2,3) and GPT 5.5 (Figure 4) for review...
Entry range suggest
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AI - A Shares (1)
There has also been a lot done in A-shares... The simplest and most straightforward approach is to replicate the US stock market's research report - timing system...
Research reports focus on stock characteristics, macro background, valuation and earnings expectations, growth quality and competitive landscape, catalysts, capital flow, risk audits, shareholder structure, etc...
Timing looks at trend setting, phase identification, capital confirmation, technical analysis, etc...
But there are too many targets, and A-shares don't have something like the US stock market's
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AI - BTC (1)
After discussing gold, let's continue to look at some of the research AI has done on BTC over the past period...
The first of course is similar to the gold approach. If multi-agent trading can work with gold, can it also work with BTC? After all, there is more data on BTC...
For this part, I really searched for a ton of data... Almost everything from the MMT API, which costs $499 a month, was used... to develop this part...
It's also based on the multi-agent idea, including ICT / Price action / Liquidity / Scalping, and various other strategies...
The final result is som
BTC-0.92%
PAXG-0.31%
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