MuYunTalksAboutGoldY

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June 18 Evening Gold Analysis
Gold previously surged to 4382 before experiencing a hundred-point plunge, with longs rushing to exit at high levels, and bearish sentiment fully dominating the market.
The slight rebound during the day is merely an oversold correction after the sharp decline, and the trend has not reversed. Short positions continue to increase, and the rebound space is very limited.
The hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with the gold price under pressure at the middle band, and old support levels have all turned into resistance. The KDJ is slightly rebounding but has n
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June 18 Gold Morning Market Analysis
Early morning, the Federal Reserve held steady, maintaining interest rates in the 3.5%-3.75% range. The decision was somewhat hawkish, lowering expectations for rate cuts this year, combined with officials' statements that U.S. inflation remains stubborn, and high interest rates will persist longer. As a result, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields both rose, causing gold prices to break below the key support level of 4280, officially ending the short-term bullish trend.
Technical aspects:
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with gold prices run
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6.17 Mu Yun Evening Gold Analysis
In the short term, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are converging and leveling off, with gold prices fluctuating around the moving averages. The 20-day moving average at 4305 is an important medium-term support. The overall bullish arrangement of the moving averages has not changed despite the V-shaped reversal pattern formed by the 4024 low point. However, short-term upward momentum is weakening, and the market has entered a high-level sideways consolidation phase.
After the rebound, the candlesticks mostly show small-bodied sideways movements, with the
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6.17 Gold Morning Analysis
Yesterday, during the U.S. trading session, gold fluctuated upward, with prices continuously rising, and the daily chart finally closed at a high level. This morning's opening continued the overnight bullish trend, with prices moving slightly stronger.
On the technical side, the daily Bollinger Bands are tightening, and the market's fluctuation range is narrowing continuously. Currently, gold prices are repeatedly oscillating around the middle Bollinger Band at 4335, with short-term bullish and bearish forces balanced, and no breakout trend has emerged yet.
During th
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MuQian:
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Ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, funds are pre-committing to the rate trend, with a large number of profit-taking positions fleeing at high levels. The gains from geopolitical safe-haven flows have been fully realized, and volatility during the U.S. session will significantly increase. Do not chase high positions.
The current price of 4340 faces obvious resistance, with short-term resistance at 4350-4355, and 4370 as a key resistance level for the bulls; short-term support is at 4325, and 4300 is the dividing line between strong and weak market conditions. Holding above 4
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Enter short at the current price of 4343, stop loss at 50, target to see 20#黄金
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MuQian:
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6.16 Gold midday market analysis
Technical aspect: 5-day 4315, 10-day 4311 serve as short-term support, 20-day moving average 4236 stabilizes the medium-term bullish trend. Gold price remains above the short-term moving average, with short-term averages consolidating, and the 20-day moving average continues to rise, indicating the bullish structure remains intact.
Gold previously bottomed out at 4024 to complete a reversal, the bearish force from the 4515 high point has been exhausted as it pulled back, buying interest at low levels supports the floor, with the lows gradually rising, turning t
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June 16 Gold Morning Analysis
Gold prices reached a high of 4369 before facing resistance and pulling back, with profit-taking by bulls driving the price lower, entering a short-term high-level consolidation phase.
From a technical perspective, the four-hour moving averages are arranged in a bullish configuration, and the Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, indicating a very stable medium- to long-term upward trend; the hourly indicators have entered overbought territory, and the MACD bullish momentum is continuously weakening, suggesting a short-term correction and repair of indicators, b
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6.15 Gold Evening Market Analysis
Today, the Asian session gold price surged to 4345, but in the afternoon, due to cooling geopolitical sentiment, the market shifted to high-level consolidation, which is a normal pause after an upward move.
The overall bullish trend remains unchanged, but there is a Federal Reserve interest rate decision early in the morning, and market sentiment is quite cautious, with a slight retracement needed for short-term correction.
Key resistance above is 4370, and support below is 4285-4290.
Trading idea: Rely on the 4325-4335 range to lightly position long p
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6.15 Mu Yun Noon Gold Analysis
During Asian trading hours, driven by news, gold prices surged significantly, breaking through multiple resistance levels in succession, reaching 4335 before entering a high-level sideways consolidation phase. Currently, the bullish momentum is sufficient, and the market trend has already reversed, with an overall strong pattern clearly established.
From a technical perspective, the short-term moving averages have formed a golden cross and are moving upward, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, and the gold price is steadily trading above the moving averages across
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Next Week's Gold Market Outlook
Next week, gold prices will generally exhibit a pattern of initial weakness and fluctuation, a turning point on Wednesday, and a recovery towards the end. At the beginning of the week, bears are favored, and the market shows weak rebounds; Wednesday's Federal Reserve interest rate meeting will be the key turning point, breaking the current range pattern.
After previous declines, the negative factors are gradually being digested, and the probability of continued deep drops in gold prices is low. A oversold rebound is expected towards the end of the week, with the
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June 12 Evening Gold Market Strategy
Gold prices bottomed at 4024 and then rebounded, currently fluctuating at high levels, with a long-term bias towards weakness, operating within a range tonight.
Resistance at 4245-4250, support at 4170-4180, the rebound is only a correction, the trend has not reversed. The situation and rate hike expectations suppress the rebound space of gold prices.
Trading Suggestions
Short at 4230-4260, target 4200-4180, break below to see 4150.
Stabilize and go long at 4170-4190, target 4220-4240, break above to see above 4250.
Note: The above ideas are for reference o
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6.12 Afternoon Thoughts
Gold reached 4023 yesterday and then experienced a deep V-shaped rebound, with a nearly $190 increase in a single day, ending the session above 4210, breaking the short-term bearish pattern.
Today, the Asian session surged to 4246 but faced resistance and pulled back, with the current price fluctuating between 4180-4190. After the rebound, it entered a correction phase, with insufficient upward momentum. The daily chart shows a large bullish candle forming a bottom, with bearish pressure easing, but this rally is only a technical correction and not a trend reversal. The
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Yesterday gold first fell then rose, reaching a low of 4024 during the day before stopping its decline, rebounding to 4118 but unable to break through, then falling back again. In the evening, the market gradually strengthened, and driven by safe-haven news in the early morning, it surged to a high of 4246. However, after reaching the high, the rally weakened, the bulls lacked momentum, and it started to consolidate sideways.
The overall major trend remains bearish; this wave is just a rebound correction after a sharp decline, and the market has not completely reversed. In the short term, the
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Gold Intraday Market Analysis:
After a brief dip in the Asian session, a strong rebound occurred, with the price stabilizing above the 4100 level; during the European session, it generally traded within the 4070-4110 range, showing a high-level oscillation pattern. Based on the market rhythm, it is predicted that the US session will continue the rebound trend.
Trading Strategies
1. Long Position Setup: Enter at 4063-4068, stop loss at 4050. The target is sequentially at 4110; after a successful breakout, aim for 4146-4150.
2. Short Position Setup: When the price reaches the resistance level at
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Liquidated:
Cow
The Mindset and Secrets of Successful Trading
Futures trading is a journey of inward self-discovery. Skills can be learned, but character must be understood on your own. Those who truly survive bull and bear markets will ultimately realize: every penny you earn is a manifestation of inner cultivation.
Mindset Section
Respect is the first threshold. Truly mature traders tread carefully, always placing risk first. They don’t ask “How much can I make,” only “How much can I lose.” Keeping losses within a single trade’s limit preserves the capital for a comeback.
A calm mind is the foundati
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MuQian:
Wow, what is this? Why are you writing so much?
6.11 Gold Midday Analysis
Gold remains generally weak and volatile, with short-term rebounds only minor corrections, and the trend has not reversed. Important data will be released tonight, and market sentiment is cautious, limiting intraday price fluctuations. A breakout in direction will have to wait for the data to be confirmed.
From a technical perspective, bullish momentum is insufficient, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and trading volume is subdued. Gold prices are temporarily holding above the middle band, but the consolidation pattern may be broken by tonight’s data.
Resistance: 41
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6.11 Gold Morning Analysis
Yesterday, gold fluctuated and weakened, falling below 4100 in the early morning, with a large bearish candle on the daily chart, indicating that the bears are in control. After a sharp decline at the opening, it quickly rebounded, and market sentiment was somewhat restored.
4073 is the key dividing line between bulls and bears for the day. If not broken, the downward trend continues; if held steady, a rebound may begin. The intraday range is 4023-4073, with support at 4000 and 3950; breaking through 4073 targets 4130 and 4170.
Trading suggestions
Short near 4080, ta
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6.10 Gold Evening Analysis
Intraday risk aversion sentiment has eased, the US dollar has slightly strengthened, and gold has quickly declined under selling pressure. The evening US CPI data is the key focus, market volatility is intensifying, and risk must be strictly controlled.
The hourly chart has broken the range of consolidation, the trend has turned bearish, the Bollinger Bands are moving downward, and the price is in a weak posture. Although there are signs of a short-term rebound, the downward trend remains unchanged, and the bears still dominate, with support levels to be determined b
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6.10 Afternoon Gold Market
During the day, gold prices steadily declined, hitting a low at noon and then moving sideways slightly, with a predominant bearish trend, favoring short positions on rallies.
The lowest point for gold was 4172 before stopping the decline, currently fluctuating around 4218. The hourly chart shows a weak trend, with strong resistance at 4257, and a lack of rebound strength.
Operation: Short on rallies to 4220-4240, initially watch 4180; if it breaks below 4180, then watch 4150. #黄金
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