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1. Macro Background (Determines Medium-Term Trends)

1. Fed Hawkish Expectations Strike Again (Core Bearish)
The June FOMC meeting dot plot significantly raised the terminal rate, with the market pricing a 77% probability of another rate hike within 2026, pushing rate cut expectations directly to 2027.
U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar strengthened, with the high-interest-rate environment continuing to suppress risk asset valuations. Bitcoin and Ethereum, as high-leverage growth assets, face far greater pressure than gold.
2. Institutional Funds Continue to Flow Out, New Inflows Dried Up
U.

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Iran responds strongly, is Trump scared? Long positions are back again! 6.22 Bitcoin Auntie Strategy
June 21 News, Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi stated in a video broadcasted by Iranian media that Iran will never give up its right to uranium enrichment, and the U.S. will eventually be forced to accept this. Raisi said that the attitude of the U.S. president has done a 180-degree turn; earlier, he said Iran must surrender unconditionally, with no rights, and then he said Iran has rights, with a complete reversal of stance. This shows that Trump has admitted that the U.S. cannot ignore Iran’

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June 19 BTC/ETH Market Morning Report—Good News Turns into Bad News, Rebound Is an Excellent Opportunity to Short
Today is Dragon Boat Festival. Wishing everyone a peaceful Dragon Boat Festival. This week, Bitcoin dropped from highs of 66,800 and 66,900 to the current price around 66,300, and Ethereum from 1,820 and 1,830 down to 1,795. Yesterday’s lows reached around 62,200 and 1,670, perfectly hitting profit-taking targets. Those who need to reduce their positions should do so now. Remaining small positions can continue to hold and seek larger profit opportunities! The intraday strategy rema

Gao Zhikai says an economic crisis will erupt within the next 12-18 months.
But I feel like it’s already happened long ago—every industry is so bleak, no one is spending anymore.
How frugal has everyone become this year?
Tell me, anyway no one knows anyone #预测世界杯加拿大VS卡塔尔

SPCX (SpaceX) suddenly plummeted on June 17th, Fed decision day, with four layers of logic resonating together. The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is the core trigger, broken down as follows:

1. Core Trigger: The Fed shifts to a hawkish stance, causing the overestimated forward stock valuation models to collapse
1. Valuation logic: SPCX is almost priced based on 5-10 year forward cash flows. Starship, space computing power, and Mars plans are all future realizations. In the DCF valuation formula, the discount rate = U.S. Treasury risk-free rate. The Fed raising interest rate expec

SPCX short sellers need to be cautious. Compared to other stocks with a trillion-dollar market cap and high liquidity (over 95%), SPCX initially had an IPO circulation of 555.6 million shares (about 4.3% of the total shares). Although the current market value has reached 2.5 trillion, 95.7% is locked up, with 85.1% locked by Musk and major investors for one year. The remaining shares will be released gradually after the Q2 financial report. At the current price, the circulating market value is only over 25k.

June 15 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
【U.S. Stocks】
Yesterday was a market holiday; today we wait for the U.S. stock response. The weekend was relatively calm. Federal Reserve Chair Powell continues to serve as interim chair.
【Bottom-Fishing Trilogy】Bottom oscillation waiting for a false breakdown
Conclusion【Oscillating Rest】
Strategy: ✅ Coin price repeatedly oscillates ✅
1️⃣ Major Market 【BTC ETH】 Current key support levels:
【BTC】 Short
Open position: Bottom position around 65,000. Add to position at 66,700
Stop loss: 67,000 (wait for 66,700 to open again)
Take profit: 60

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During a decline, don't guess the bottom recklessly; during a rebound, don't blindly chase the top. After a sharp drop, first observe for signs of stabilization; don't rush to buy the dip or chase orders. Wait until the support level is confirmed to be effective before making the next move.
After being trapped, the first priority is to lock in the loss range, not to pursue a perfect one-time solution. Operate in batches, proceed step by step, and extend the recovery period; this is more stable than stubbornly holding on.
Whether being trapped in Duo or Kong, always keep some idle funds; don't

#比特币回升5% The following is an analysis based on the current market conditions:
1️⃣ Regarding the sustainability of BTC rebound and key resistance levels
I believe this rebound is more of a technical correction after being oversold; whether it can continue depends on two aspects: first, a thorough shift in macro sentiment (such as a renewed increase in interest rate cut expectations), and second, whether the market can see sustained incremental funds.
· Short-term judgment: The rebound on June 8th successfully broke above $63,000, indeed easing market panic. But “non-farm payroll digestion” doe

BlockBeats News, June 6 — According to lookonchain monitoring, a whale has established a 20x leveraged short position of 1,588 BTC (approximately $96.78 million) within the past 5 hours, with a liquidation price of $63,939.37.

Friday, the weakness is still continuing, give me a break above 6!
Yesterday, after stabbing 613, it rebounded to 647, but did not stabilize, during the US session, it oscillated excessively and then turned down, giving a short position at the 742 area, which was also closed for profit as the target was reached!
Today, the short-term rhythm is still very weak, the hourly chart clearly shows the moving average resistance effect, returning to weakness again, with no news stimuli, it is expected to return to low levels, and the probability of breaking 6 is still high.
Watch the 636-640 area for r

#BTC触底66000 1. Recent Bitcoin Price Trend Analysis
Bitcoin has been continuously declining recently, briefly dropping to $66,123 during the trading session on June 3, hitting a two-month low, and Ethereum also fell to $1,837 during the same period, the lowest in three months. Currently, BTC's price has fallen about 44% from its all-time high of $126,198 in October 2025. Since the beginning of the year, it has gained only about 8%, while gold has risen 18% and Nasdaq has increased 12% in the same period.
This round of decline is not due to a single black swan event but a combination of multiple

Oil prices approaching the hundred-dollar mark, who is pricing in BTC's tail risk?
Both Iran and the U.S. have paused negotiations, missile exchanges, and airports in three countries have halted flights; this is the closest to a comprehensive escalation this year.
Brent crude is only about 3% away from $100, with tail risk pricing scarce; once it truly breaks through the hundred-dollar threshold, the bulls and bears will quickly shift to inflation panic.
The market has already priced in a "war and negotiation" scenario as normal, but if the conflict truly exceeds a limited threshold, the

Breaking news: Grayscale's super liquid staking exchange-traded fund (HYPG) will begin trading on June 4th, offering HYPE spot exposure and staking rewards earned through standard brokerage accounts. This could expand retail access to staking yields within a low-cost, regulated framework. $HYPG

Seeing the whales scared, they retreated, I can't help but want to go long!
Loracle once again reduced its short position in HYPE by $16 million and increased long positions in ZEC, TON, and ASTER.
BlockBeats news, on May 31, according to HyperInsight monitoring, Loracle reduced its HYPE short position by $16 million, remaining with 1.3M HYPE tokens (worth about $89 million), with unrealized losses exceeding $30 million.
On the other hand, Loracle increased its long positions in ZEC, TON, and ASTER, totaling about $6.5 million, and the position is still growing. $HYPE
{future}(HYPEUSDT)

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May 29, 2026 BTC/USD Technical Analysis
I. Current Market Overview
BTC experienced a volume breakout to the downside last night, losing the key support at 74,000, with a low probe near 72,640. During the day, it remained weak and oscillated at low levels. Over the past 24 hours, long contracts were heavily liquidated, short-term bearish momentum was fully released, and the price entered an oversold zone. There is a technical correction need, but the overall structure remains weak and the downward correction trend has not been reversed.
II. Key Technical Indicator Interpretation
1. Dail