#数字货币市场回调 Everyone, after that sharp fall in the morning session, it is estimated that there won't be too much volatility tonight.
The current price is around 85866, and the trend is weak. If it cannot hold the 85900 support level, the next observation point will be 85744. If 85744 can hold steady, that's good; if it breaks, then we need to focus on the 85266 level. For a rebound, pay attention to the resistance near 86970.

The sudden dumping in the morning caused a stir in the group. Various rumors were flying around, but after going through the timeline and news sources, I found that everyone might be blaming the wrong target.
First, let's talk about a few of the most widely circulated versions:
The first statement is that a certain country suddenly released negative news - but this news came out over the weekend, and the market had already digested it; the timing simply doesn't match.
The second one is even more exaggerated, saying that a certain central bank big shot is going to resign — his term clea

I recently came across Uncle Munger's decision-making framework and found it surprisingly effective for analyzing crypto world projects. Let me break down his "multidisciplinary filter."
**First, let's talk about the core logic: Don't view problems from just one perspective**
Many people go all in on a certain coin just because of "high community enthusiasm" or "the founder's impressive background," but Munger forces himself to cross-verify from multiple dimensions:
- Mathematical Probability: How long can this token economic model last? Is the annualized return real or a Ponzi

#ETH走势分析 # Ethereum Contract Practical: Risk Control Principles from 1500 to 56000
Friends, today we won't discuss theory; let's directly break down the practical path of turning 1500 USD into 56,000 — the focus isn't on how much we earn, but rather on how to avoid liquidation.
**First Move: The Three-Fund Method, Don't Put All Your Eggs in One Basket**
500U for intraday trading: Only take action once a day, withdraw when capturing a 3%-5% fluctuation, and take profit without hesitation.
500U range trading opportunity: Stay put during sideways market conditions, wait for a clea

ZEC was the key target in November, and at that time, it was shorting with 2x leverage. I didn't expect it to really double the returns now.
To be honest, I was a bit surprised by this return rate myself. Since November, I have been expressing a bearish stance in public, and at that time I even said, "If you lose by shorting, it's on me." During that period, I wrote quite a few analysis posts, with 4 long articles alone, each manually typed out with several thousand words. I did a lot of research just to clarify the logic behind shorting.
The price trend speaks volumes—peaking at 750,

#数字货币市场回调 This morning I woke up to an unverified news explosion in the crypto circle — overseas social platforms are going crazy with "Powell may resign as Fed chairman." Although mainstream financial media remains silent and there has been no official response, the market nerves are already on edge.
More subtly, Trump almost simultaneously stated: "I have someone in mind, and I will announce it soon." There is widespread speculation that current White House economic advisor Hassett is the frontrunner. The combination of rumors and statements has directly pushed this week's market into a

This BTC market trend is really intense. When it was just above 90,000, I was still thinking "Should I enter a position?", but as soon as I hesitated, it dropped straight to 88,500—almost took me out.
Looking back now, who has really made money in this market? Retail investors? Big players? Or those who make calls? To be honest, it's exhausting.
If life could start over, I swear I wouldn't touch these things.
But back to the point - position control is no joke. Don't wait until you get liquidated to regret it; by then, it will be too late to cry. Everyone, take care and cherish it.

#美SEC推动加密创新监管 ETH has been a bit tangled in its recent trend. The price has been fluctuating between $2,900 and $3,000, and last week it pulled back with the market, failing to hold the psychological barrier of $3,000. This fall directly triggered nearly $484M in long positions getting liquidated, effectively pulling back the gains from early 2025.
From a technical perspective, the RSI has dropped to around 34, indicating that it is clearly oversold. Although the MACD is still in negative territory, there are signs of it turning upwards, and the lower Bollinger Band has also been touched. Thes

#美联储恢复降息进程 has been quite active in the TON ecosystem recently.
This project claims to be the first decentralized trading platform on the TON chain that simultaneously offers options and perpetual contracts. The timing is indeed spot on - the daily active users on the TON chain have exceeded 42 million, and the number of active addresses on the chain has nearly tripled.
Technically, they have integrated the one-click trading feature of Telegram, which theoretically can reach a user pool of 700 million. With zero fees and second-level confirmations, the user growth data is indeed impressive, w

**The financial market in December is like a ticking bomb.**
On the Federal Reserve's side, the expectation of interest rate cuts surged from a wait-and-see attitude at the beginning of the year to 87%—this is not speculation, but real-time data from CME interest rate futures. The US dollar index broke 100, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury could not hold below 4%, and after gold rose to $4230, it began testing historical highs. The market logic is simple: inflation data has fallen for three consecutive months, non-farm employment growth has slowed, and Federal Reserve officials have co

#数字货币市场回升 This rebound is steady, and getting on board at the end of the session also earned 20 points. The market is like this, no need for too much explanation, the profits will speak for themselves. $BNB The market driven by this round, just having execution in place is enough.

#数字资产市场观察 This performance is strong enough; despite the market being so terrible, it still holds up without collapsing.
The spot and contract have already inverted, and the funding rate has dropped to -0.4%. What does this data indicate? The shorts are still holding on desperately. However, the market has this problem; the more this standoff situation continues, the easier it is for a sudden short squeeze to occur.
I think the position at 20 dollars is still worth looking at. For coins that obviously have funds supporting them, there's always someone willing to buy when the price drops,

#数字货币市场回升 Recently, several pieces of news in the market have come together, and the more I look at them, the more interesting they become.
Let's start with the macro perspective — CME data shows that the probability of a Fed rate cut in December has soared to 87.4%. Even more explosive is the odds of Hassett taking over as Fed chairman, which jumped from 55% to 78% within a week. This pace clearly signals a policy shift.
The industry side is also not at ease. Sony Bank suddenly announced that it will launch a US dollar stablecoin in the US market in 2026, mainly targeting the gaming and

Attention all coin friends! Today the market experienced significant fluctuations, and Bitcoin suddenly pulled back sharply. Many people only see the price fall, but they have not noticed the real driving force behind it—the Bank of Japan has revealed signals that it may raise interest rates in December.
You might ask, what does Japan's interest rate hike have to do with the crypto market? It matters a lot! The yen has long been an important tool for arbitrage trading in the global financial market. Over the years, a large number of institutions have borrowed low-interest yen to allocate v

#数字资产市场观察 In this constantly fluctuating crypto market, can you still hold on? There is a place that has maintained an optimistic atmosphere, where the community is very active and discussions are lively. If you are willing to calm down and study seriously, you will find that many of the concerns you have have actually been thought about by others long ago. The core things will not change easily, so stop always thinking about taking shortcuts.
The entry threshold is actually not high; if you're interested, you can take a look and learn more.

#ETH走势分析 12月1日midday observation: BTC/ETH market review and ideas sharing
Hello everyone, let's talk about the recent market trends.
The recent pullback of Bitcoin and Ethereum actually had early signs. Do you remember that time on November 24? It was repeatedly reminded back then—there was no strength in the rebound, and the $93,000 barrier was breached multiple times, indicating that the bulls were already quite tired. While the market seemed to be consolidating on the surface, a weak structure had been brewing all along, and a downward movement was highly probable.
As expected, the pric

The Fed's sudden meeting has really thrown a deep-water bomb—once the news broke that Powell might step down and Harker could take over, all kinds of funds went into a frenzy. Logically, having a more aggressive rate-cutting faction take office should be seen as Favourable Information, yet the market is actually getting extremely tense, which is a bit counterintuitive.
Let’s first talk about this possible new leader: Hasit has been working with the old boss for nearly ten years, and he was the one who led the tax reduction policy back then, definitely a core think tank. He has long disappr

#数字货币市场回升 The extent of this pullback has indeed exceeded expectations.
My approach is to secure profits first, as on-paper gains are just numbers until realized. With such highly volatile assets, the short-term uncertainty is too strong, and the risk-reward ratio of holding further is no longer favorable.
Withdraw and observe calmly for a while, wait for the technical indicators to stabilize before considering re-entering the market. The crypto market is not short of opportunities; what it lacks are traders who can survive steadily. Preserving capital and controlling drawdown is always the fi

#ETH巨鲸增持 Today was another blood-red closing. What's strange is that the usually lively discussion group has suddenly gone eerily quiet. No one is posting those funny internet memes anymore, and even the complaints seem too lazy to type. Someone said: "After the fall to this point, I really feel nothing."
I'm totally numb.
Now there are two kinds of people: one is trapped so badly that they don't even dare to think about breaking even; the other is simply clearing their positions and watching, finding it easier to observe than to participate. What about you? Are you still holding

On the first day of December, the market gave a certain trader a "practical lesson" worth 1.7 million dollars.
At 8 AM, the price of ETH suddenly plummeted. This trader's long position account was still dreaming in the warm bed of floating profits just a second ago, but the next second was slapped awake by the market—not only did the profits evaporate instantly, but the liquidation mechanism was also triggered.
Time rewinds a few days. He just injected 1 million USD into his account as margin, and with continuous increasing positions, the funds curve skyrocketed to 2.08 million. The thrill