CoinSea Surfing: 12.10 Latest Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis Reference and News Interpretation CoinSea Surfing: 12.10 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis Reference: Last night, Bitcoin experienced a strong rebound rally, with the price climbing all the way up, breaking through previous highs, and testing the 94,558 level before pulling back due to selling pressure above. As of 8:13 this morning, the price has retraced to around 92,500 USD and is consolidating. From the daily chart, the candlestick has closed bullish for several consecutive days, and the price is operating above all MA periods. The trend temporarily broke above the upper Bollinger Band, and although the previous EMA30 resistance was effectively broken, it failed to hold above it. The MACD continues to expand with increased volume, and both the DIF and DEA lines are trending upward; the KDJ indicator maintains a bullish pattern. Overall, the technical outlook still shows bullish signals, but the failure to hold above key resistance suggests a hidden risk of a pullback. In the short term, the price is likely to consolidate at high levels to absorb selling pressure, and caution is needed for possible volatility if volume decreases. Looking at the short-term hourly chart, the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are opening up, and the candlestick pattern shows two bullish candles followed by one bearish. Although there has been a pullback, the current price has successfully broken above the middle band resistance, and the EMA moving averages are in a bullish alignment, with the price only slightly below EMA240. The MACD continues to show expanding volume, with DIF and DEA diverging above the zero axis. The KDJ indicator is contracting, with the J value turning down from a high level. Overall, the 4-hour bullish trend framework remains intact, but the KDJ turning down at high levels combined with EMA240 resistance may slow the pace of further rebounds. It is likely that the price will consolidate at high levels to absorb upward pressure. It is recommended to try light long positions near middle band support in the short term. CoinSea Surfing: 12.10 Bitcoin Short-term Reference: Long: 90,500-91,500 range, stop loss 500 points, target 92,500-93,500 Short: 94,500-95,500 range, defensive stop at 96,500, target 93,500-92,500 CoinSea Surfing: 12.10 Ethereum Short-term Reference: Long: 3,150-3,200 range, stop loss 30 points, target 3,250-3,300 Short: 3,382-3,412 range, defensive stop at 3,500, target 3,300-3,200 There is a delay in article transmission and the content is time-sensitive. The above is a personal view and for reference only. Do not operate blindly! I hope that on your investment journey, no matter how the market changes, you can stick to your principles, remain rational and calm. Seize opportunities, make every decision just right, and ride the waves in the ocean of investment to harvest both wealth and growth!!!

The Fed's move this time is quite interesting—on the surface, it's a rate cut, but underneath, they're still just as tough as ever. You want to know where the crypto market is headed next? Don't rush to any conclusions just yet. This round of "hawkish rate cuts" is all about psychological warfare. The liquidity tap has indeed been turned on, but the dot plot has exposed all their internal disagreements. To put it simply: they’ll provide money, but as for how much and when to take it back, even they haven’t figured it out. In the short term, the market might get excited just because of the word "rate cut," but with the hawkish tone and all the internal tug-of-war, volatility is inevitable. What should retail investors do? Three things, plain and simple. **Stay away from short-term plays.** News-driven price swings like this rise fast and crash just as quickly. Chasing the highs or panic selling is basically handing money to the big players. Just watch—don’t let your hands get itchy. **Hold on to mainstream assets.** If you have proven assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, the best thing to do right now is—do nothing. Even the Fed is still arguing, which means no one can predict where the economy is heading. In times like these, certainty is more important than yield. **Keep some ammo, wait for opportunities.** What if the hawkish voices overpower the market and trigger a pullback? That would be the perfect window to build positions in batches. Remember, never go all-in at once—buy gradually, that's the right way. Let the Fed argue all they want; it's more practical for us to manage our own wallets. Whether they’re hawkish or dovish, it doesn’t affect your trading discipline. Don’t be greedy, don’t be fearful, and keep a steady mindset—that’s how you survive in the market for the long run.

This week, Bitcoin has been repeatedly fluctuating around the $93,000 mark, with intense tug-of-war between bulls and bears. But I think the real focus shouldn't be on the price action itself, but rather on three upcoming events in the next few days that could directly impact liquidity. Whether December can become a new starting point for a rally depends on how the data plays out in the coming days. First, let's talk about the Fed's FOMC meeting, with the results to be announced at 3 a.m. Beijing time on December 11. A 25 basis point rate cut is almost a given, with the probability nearing 90%. But the problem is the Fed often does the "rate cut but hawkish tone" move. I'm paying attention to two details: If the dot plot shows only three cuts in 2026 instead of four, the dollar might strengthen, and BTC will likely test the $86,000 support level. The tone of Powell's statement. If he continues to emphasize inflationary pressures, there will definitely be volatility in the short term; but if he shifts the focus to economic downturn risks, it might actually give crypto prices an excuse to move higher. My own plan is to reduce leverage before the announcement and keep some positions open to observe. If BTC can hold above $95,000 within an hour after the announcement, I might consider going long; if it drops directly below $88,000, I'll wait for a rebound to look for shorting opportunities. There's another data point that's easily overlooked—the September PCE inflation data, which will be released around December 10. This is the Fed's most important inflation indicator and directly affects how hawkish their future policies will be. The September core PCE...