Goldman Sachs: Demand for financing in USD against EUR weakens

On June 4, Goldman Sachs said that a key indicator to measure global currency demand showed that investors’ preference for euro financing was rising. Goldman Sachs analysts Simon Freycenet and Friedrich Schaper wrote in a note: "For most of the eurozone’s history, investors have been paying premiums to secure dollar financing in the cross-currency basis swap market. Looking ahead, our analysis suggests that the ECB’s policy, as well as the savings-investment dynamics and basis on both sides of the Atlantic, will rise over time, and that the premium on US dollar borrowing will become a discount. Goldman Sachs believes that the factors driving the euro’s premium to the dollar include: “The ECB’s balance sheet shrinkage compared to the Fed still has a long way to go.” "The long-standing U.S. budget deficit relative to Europe’s solid net international investment position. FX hedging of US dollar assets, especially US equities, has increased.