Lighter’s TGE Sparks Insider Bets and Market Buzz

2025-12-20 16:52:41

Abstract generation in progress

Insider bets on Polymarket suggest Lighter’s TGE is highly likely, signaling potential early gains for investors.
$LIT airdrop allocates 250M tokens, valuing each point at ~$68, driving speculation and strategic market moves.
Aster DEX gains traction in DeFi perps, ranking just below Hyperliquid, boosted by high leverage and CZ endorsement.

Lighter_xyz is preparing for its token generation event (TGE) and airdrop, expected within the next three weeks. A recent on-chain transfer confirmed that 250 million $LIT tokens moved toward airdrop allocations.

With 12 million points in the system, this equates to approximately 20.8 tokens per point. At pre-market prices around $3.3, each point holds an estimated $68 value. This rapid allocation has fueled speculation and strategic betting on Polymarket.

According to Robert Mercer, “Lighter Market Cap >$1B one day after launch.” Pre-market data shows $LIT trading at a $3.2 billion market cap. Meanwhile, Lighter’s 30-day perpetual volume reached $248 billion, surpassing Hyperliquid’s $201 billion. In comparison, $HYPE maintains an $8.3 billion market cap. Analysts see these numbers as a strong indication that Lighter is poised for significant market traction.

Insider Moves Highlight Strong TGE Confidence

Andrew 10 GWEI reported that insider betting on Polymarket points to a near-certain TGE. Two Polymarket accounts placed roughly $125,000 on “YES” outcomes for Lighter’s market cap after launch. Wallet tracing revealed that these accounts connect directly to team-associated addresses.

Transactions show deposits made even before public access, confirming insider involvement. Consequently, market observers infer that Lighter’s TGE will proceed as planned, potentially boosting early token value.

Additionally, Lighter’s smart contract history reinforces this insider signal. Linked wallets interacted with the system as early as 2023, when only team members had access. Both Coinbase and Binance addresses tie these accounts together, strengthening the insider hypothesis. These details suggest the TGE and airdrop are highly likely, offering early investors strategic advantages.

Aster DEX Gains Ground in DeFi Perp Market

Besides Lighter, Aster DEX is emerging as a challenger in decentralized perpetual futures markets. Since its token launch in September 2025, Aster has consistently increased trading volumes. Analysts attribute this to high leverage, integrated yield strategies, and strong market interest.

It now ranks just below Hyperliquid in daily and weekly volumes. Changpeng Zhao’s endorsement further legitimizes Aster, recalling his early promotion of BNB when it traded under $50.

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