XRP’s ongoing pullback is sparking discussions about “history repeating itself” in the market. Several technical analysts point out that the current pattern closely resembles the ABC correction structure in the 2021 cycle, which may provide important clues about when this round of decline will end.
Looking back at the trend, XRP fell about 35% in Q4 2025, then briefly rebounded in early 2026, quickly rising from $1.84 in early January to a high of $2.41, but was soon met with strong resistance and pulled back. Since that high, the price has retraced approximately 41%, currently hovering around $1.42, hitting a new low since November 2024. The decline has entered its fifth month, and market sentiment is becoming more cautious.
On the technical side, analyst Charting Guy notes that XRP has been trading above a long-term upward trendline since 2020, which has provided dynamic support during deep corrections multiple times. The current price is approaching this zone, where the trendline overlaps with the $1.05 to $1.1 range. He believes XRP may further decline and test around $1.2 before March 2026, forming a phase bottom.
This judgment is also supported by historical comparison. In 2021, after a high, XRP experienced several months of decline, eventually stabilizing near the key trendline at the end of wave C, and began a slow recovery cycle. The current price structure and timing are quite similar to that period, suggesting this correction may be nearing its end.
It’s important to note that if XRP drops to $1.2, it would fall about 16% from the current price, increasing the year-to-date decline to over 34%. However, if the bulls manage to hold the long-term trendline, the market could see a technical rebound. For investors, this price level is becoming an important window to observe for a trend reversal.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
XRP Price Prediction: Standard Chartered Targets $8 As ETF Inflows Hit $1.24 Billion, but Pepeto ...
XRP spot ETFs pulled $1.24 billion since November with barely a red day, and Standard Chartered’s Kendrick targets $8
The xrp price prediction has never been stronger, but at $1.42 with $85 billion market cap, even $8 is 5.6x, and the biggest returns come from presale entries where listing math
BlockChainReporter3h ago
XRP Slides to $1.42 After Losing $1.80–$2 Neckline as $1.39 Support Faces Immediate Test
XRP dropped to less than the $1.80-2 neckline and a key support area became an overhead and the overall trend was altered.
The current short-term trading corridor is between the support and resistance of the asset which is between $1.39 and $1.47 respectively.
A price above $1.39 will
CryptoNewsLand5h ago
XRP Ledger XLS-65 Amendment Introduces Native Single Asset Vaults for DeFi
XLS-65 enables integration of single-asset vaults on the XRP Ledger, allowing users to pool XRP, IOU, or MPT and obtain proportional shares of MPT.
XRPL Commons backed the amendment after 257 Devnet tests, which covered exchange logic, access controls, and asset safeguards.
The XRP Ledger ha
CryptoNewsFlash5h ago
