Successfully predicted Maduro's arrest address and invested $65,400, betting on US-Iran ceasefire before May

Gate News Report, March 19 — According to monitoring data, on a certain prediction market platform, within the past 24 hours, an address that previously predicted Maduro’s arrest successfully has returned. The address invested $65,400 to buy the “Yes” option in the prediction “Will the US and Iran cease fire before May?” Currently, the probability of “Yes” for this event is 33%.

Former National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent publicly stated that he and other senior officials’ concerns about countering Iran were not allowed to be fully communicated to Trump, leading to his resignation. Internal policy disagreements within the US are turning into open political pressure.

Trump publicly emphasized that when Israel attacked Iran’s South Pars gas field, neither the US nor Qatar participated, and warned Iran not to attack Qatar again. Major European countries also refused to become more deeply involved in US military actions against Iran and prefer to address the Strait of Hormuz issue through diplomatic and non-military means.

Note: Based on its past trading patterns, this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur but may close positions for profit or loss at certain times after opening. The related account address is 0x44de2a52d8d2d3ddcf39d58e315a10df53ba9c08, with a total investment of $65,400.