April 7, under the influence of the bear market, 21 crypto projects announced they would shut down or scale back services, covering areas such as wallets, DeFi, NFTs, and games. Projects like Leap Wallet and Magic Eden exited or adjusted due to market pressure; industry insiders believe this shakeout will help reshape the market, and that focusing on sustainable Web3 projects in the future will be more competitive.

According to Glassnode data, in the first quarter of 2023, the average daily losses for “sharks” holding between 100 and 1,000 BTC and “giant whales” holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC were 188.5 million and $147.5 million, respectively, totaling approximately $337 million. Meanwhile, the year-to-date cumulative losses have already reached $30.9 billion, approaching the level of the 2022 bear market. Long-term holders’ average daily losses are still around $200 million, with the market affected by macro risks and weakening confidence.

A Bank of Canada research report states that Aave V3 on Ethereum is expected to achieve zero non-performing loans in 2024, with a total loan volume of about $6 billion. The report analyzes the effectiveness of over-collateralization and automatic liquidation mechanisms in protecting lenders, finding that leveraged loop transactions are mainly driven by large investors, liquidation activity is concentrated in a small number of assets, and it has little impact on market prices.

Bitcoin's bear market has lasted for nearly six months. The market may be entering a "time pain" phase, with long-term holders making up about 80% of the supply. Glassnode believes the bear market is nearing the bottom, but it still needs several months of sideways consolidation.

Michael Saylor’s Strategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by more than 88,000 coins in the first quarter of 2026, bringing total holdings to nearly 739,000 coins and cementing its position as the world’s largest corporate holder. The move was completed through $42 billion in financing, reflecting Saylor’s confidence in long-term value, even though overall market sentiment remains relatively bearish. The accumulation strategy shows the contrarian thinking of institutional investors in a bear market, but it also introduces risks of price volatility and leverage financing.

Bitcoin faces a critical turning point in April 2026. In March, the price rose only slightly by 0.19%, and market momentum has weakened. Technically, it shows a “bear flag” pattern; during tests of the key trendline, it may initiate a new round of downside. Flows are split—ETF net inflows are weakening, and large whales continue to exert selling pressure. The key support level is $67,000; once that breaks, it will test lower levels. If it breaks above $75,900, it could reverse. Overall, Bitcoin still faces near-term pressure, and its April performance will influence subsequent market direction.

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Ethereum has currently broken below a key support level, presenting a bearish flag pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the downward trend. Trading volume is sluggish, market participation is insufficient, and there is a continued net outflow from ETFs. The minting of USDC has slowed, liquidity recovery is unstable, and time is needed to repair demand.

El Salvador's Bitcoin reserves have increased to 7,605.37 coins, worth approximately $506 million. Analysts point out that losses for short-term Bitcoin holders are widening, with the MVRV indicator in bear market territory. Brother Ma's losses have reached $31.3 million. Walmart's payment platform OnePay has added support for various cryptocurrencies. Gnosis and Zisk have launched an Ethereum economic zone Rollup framework.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that Bitcoin's failure to return to the realized price of $72,500, excluding long-term inactive supply, may face continued downward pressure, having historically remained below this level for 6 to 10 months during bear markets.