Breaking News! Trump Boosts Bitcoin, Market Quietly Bets on a Major Shift!

Last night, both the US stock market and the crypto markets rebounded. While it seemed like positive signals from Trump’s comments and hopes for an end to the government shutdown, behind the scenes, there's a big gamble on a potential change in tariff policies!

Trump Goes All Out:
“Cryptocurrencies ease dollar pressure and bring huge value. We must make the US a Bitcoin superpower and the world’s crypto capital!”
He also claimed that despite the government shutdown impacting the markets, stocks will continue to hit new highs — and he’s not just talking.

More Significant Signals:
Prediction platform Kalshi shows the probability of the Supreme Court supporting Trump’s global tariffs has plummeted to 29%!
If tariffs are deemed illegal, corporate tax burdens will decrease, supply chain costs will drop significantly, profits will rise, and inflation will ease — a huge boon for tech, manufacturing, and consumer companies relying on overseas supply chains!

Market Moves Ahead:
Semiconductors and cross-border manufacturing sectors lead the rally, while defensive assets perform modestly — capital is quietly positioning for a “post-tariff era.”

Countdown to Government Shutdown?
Markets generally expect bipartisan talks to reach an agreement this week, ending the shutdown next week. Trump is also urging Republicans to reopen the government quickly.
But remember: until the government truly resumes operations, market liquidity remains tight. Manage your positions carefully — don’t blow your entire powder at once!

On-Chain Data Insights:
- Bitcoin’s turnover rate is declining, and trading activity is cooling.
- Support structures remain intact; price has rebounded to around $104,000.
- However, ETF fund outflows continue: BTC sees $570 million outflow in a single day, marking five consecutive declines; ETH outflows hit $219 million, sentiment remains weak.
- Whales sold over 400,000 BTC in 30 days, while only buying 375,000 — selling pressure persists.
- Current fair value of Bitcoin is about $98,000, and the current price is close, indicating the bubble is nearly squeezed out!

Summary of This Rally:
Tariff policy uncertainty + shutdown end expectations = market preemptively reacting.
Next, keep a close eye on Washington. Before the government reopens, stay rational and control your positions.

The market is always right; emotions are the biggest enemy. Keep your powder dry, stay rational — that’s the key to survival!

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