#Polymarket预测市场 The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in December surged to 93%! This figure is reflected in the Polymarket prediction market, indicating that the market has formed a strong consensus. Interestingly, the expectation for January took a sharp turn— the probability of no rate cut skyrocketed to 68%. What does this reflect?

This is where the charm of decentralized prediction markets lies. Polymarket gathers the real judgments and funds of global participants, revealing collective wisdom through the "voting with your feet" approach, which is more valuable as a reference than traditional polls and pundit opinions. Every transaction is a bet by participants on the future, and the incentive mechanism directly stimulates the accuracy of information.

From a macro perspective, the expectation of short-term interest rate cuts versus long-term tightening perfectly reflects the current economic uncertainty. Decentralized prediction markets are precisely when they provide the greatest value in such a complex environment — they allow everyone to participate, to receive real-time feedback, and to learn from predictions.

This is also a reflection of how Web3 empowers ordinary users. You don't need a Wall Street identity; you just need to have your own judgment on trends to validate ideas and earn profits on this open stage. The future of the prediction market is worth looking forward to.