#美联储政策 Recently, I have observed an interesting phenomenon - Bitcoin has almost completely priced in the Fed's interest rate cut expectations. What does this mean? In simple terms, the market is voting with its actions.

Take a look at these signals: the slope of the 200-day moving average has turned positive for the first time in a month, Bitcoin has regained two key moving averages after rebounding from $80,000, and the short-term bullish momentum has indeed recovered. Even more exciting is that the number of active addresses is stabilizing, and the transfer volume is increasing—these are all early signs of market recovery.

Loose monetary policy is like opening the floodgates for the entire ecosystem. When the Fed releases liquidity, funds will seek safe havens and appreciation opportunities, and decentralized assets often become an important choice. This is not only favorable for Bitcoin; the entire Web3 ecosystem will welcome opportunities—DeFi lending efficiency will improve, and more capital will be willing to explore emerging sectors.

However, it is important to note that we are still in the transition period from "frozen" to recovery, and confidence has not yet fully formed. The 52-week high is a key resistance level, and once it is broken, we can see room for further increases. At this moment, participants who truly understand the value of decentralization often seize better opportunities. The future will not wait for those who hesitate; the trend has already started.