#预测市场 Prediction markets are truly one of the most exciting innovations in Web3! Look at this AI model prediction market on Kalshi, from ChatGPT's 41% win rate at the beginning of the year to Gemini's 86% now. In just one year, market participants have used real money to vote, directly reflecting the technological competition landscape in the AI field. What does a trading volume of $14 million indicate? It shows that everyone is expressing their judgments about the future in a decentralized way.

This is the magic of prediction markets—they break down information monopolies and allow everyone to participate in the price discovery process. There’s no need to rely on predictions from a single authority; instead, real information surfaces through incentive mechanisms. In traditional finance, such transparency and participation are almost unimaginable.

More importantly, prediction markets are not just investment tools; they are becoming a new way for us to understand the future. From political elections to technological breakthroughs, and now to the AI competition landscape, decentralized prediction markets make information more democratic and decisions more transparent. This bottom-up transformation of decision-making mechanisms is exactly the change Web3 aims to bring to the world.

In the future, prediction markets will become as common as financial infrastructure, serving as new tools for exploring uncertainty. What are your thoughts on the development of AI? Share your views on the prediction market.