#预测市场 After reading this in-depth analysis of the prediction market facing AI manipulation, I have to say, this is the real issue that must be addressed in the development of Web3.

Prediction markets were originally one of the most promising innovations of the decentralized era — replacing traditional polls with economic incentives, allowing dispersed information and real money judgments to automatically converge into collective wisdom. But as the article points out, when AI begins to forge public opinion, when large sums of capital attempt to manipulate prices, and when news media blindly report market fluctuations, this originally transparent mechanism faces unprecedented challenges.

What I particularly agree with is that the problem is not with prediction markets themselves, but with governance. As long as we establish liquidity thresholds, strengthen trading monitoring, improve price transparency, and strictly regulate media reporting, prediction markets can become truly valuable information tools within a democratic ecosystem — especially in an era where AI floods and pollutes traditional polling.

This is the true essence of decentralization: not blindly trusting the market, but enabling it to operate in the sunlight through mechanism design, transparency, and community consensus. The future of prediction markets depends on whether we are willing to confront these challenges now and build a truly responsible ecosystem. Technology empowers us, but wise governance is the key to ensuring this power truly benefits humanity.