#预测市场 Seeing this set of data on Kalshi's prediction market is really interesting! Gemini has soared from 30% at the beginning of the year to 86%, while ChatGPT has dropped from 41% to 8%. This is not only a change in probability but also reflects the fierce competition and rapid iteration across the entire AI track.

This is the charm of prediction markets — they use real monetary incentives to allow global participants to vote with their feet, reflecting the true market expectations. The trading volume of $14.08 million already demonstrates the popularity of this topic. Instead of relying on media reports and marketing hype to judge who is the "best AI," it’s better to look at the collective cognition of thousands of rational traders.

From a Web3 perspective, prediction markets are reshaping the way we perceive the world. They break information asymmetry, allowing everyone to participate in the price discovery process. This is the power of decentralization — no need for an authoritative institution to tell you the answer, but rather through a decentralized, incentive-compatible mechanism that brings the truth to the surface.

In the future, more and more major decisions, technological developments, and market trends will be anchored by prediction markets. This transparent, efficient, and hard-to-manipulate price mechanism is becoming one of the most promising tracks in Web3. Have you ever participated in prediction markets? Why not give it a try and experience this new decision-making method firsthand!