#预测市场 I just saw Bitcoin prediction data on Polymarket, and I was a bit shocked 😅 The probability of reaching $100,000 again within this year is only 11%, and there's still a 24% chance of dropping below $80,000... It feels like market sentiment has cooled down quite a bit from the previous optimism.

Honestly, I haven't been in the space for long, and these prediction probabilities are a bit confusing to me. I want to ask everyone, how does this kind of prediction market actually work? Are all participants voting together to decide? Do these numbers represent real funds being bet? 💭

And I can't quite understand why so many people are bearish on the market outlook for the end of the year recently. Is it due to macro factors or technical reasons? I feel like I need to catch up on some knowledge and would love to hear everyone's analysis ideas~ If there are any reliable beginner resources or explanations to share, I would be very grateful 🙏