Before Trump announces major news, "precise bets" frequently appear; multiple experts call for a thorough investigation

According to Jinse Finance, on March 29, during Trump’s second term, trades that were strategically placed before the announcement of major policies may have brought millions of dollars in profits to some traders. Several legal experts have stated that these trades should be investigated to maintain market fairness and determine if there was any information leakage. According to a Reuters review, suspicious trades appear to have been made in the market prior to the Trump administration’s series of critical decisions related to tariffs, Venezuela, and Iran. These trades involve different types of markets and assets, such as options, commodity futures, and prediction markets. Andrew Wostein, an insider trading expert from UCLA School of Law, stated that these trades look very suspicious. Although the number of cases is limited, these patterns align precisely with expectations—this would occur if government officials and their friends traded using informational advantages. Eitan Goldman, a former director of the CFTC’s enforcement division and a former federal prosecutor, stated that such trades typically attract regulatory scrutiny; however, insider trading laws in the commodities market are relatively complex, and the relevant field still lacks precedents.