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72 Transformations! The US-Iran Situation
First, the main point: someone is mediating a ceasefire.
Pakistan has proposed a plan, aiming for both sides to cease fire first, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and then negotiate a final agreement within 15 to 20 days—probably Iran promises not to develop nuclear weapons in exchange for the US lifting sanctions and unfreezing assets.
But Iran immediately “dampened the enthusiasm”:
They won’t accept a deadline, and don’t expect pressure.
They won’t open the strait just for a “temporary ceasefire.”
They openly state that the US is not ready for a “permanent ceasefire.”
On the other side, a dramatic rescue operation.
Two US pilots fell near the Iranian border; the first wave was redeemed with money; the second wave got complicated—bombers cleared the area, and transport planes landed at a “mysterious base” inside Iran (most likely a place where local forces were paid off). As a result, the pilots were rescued, but two transport planes malfunctioned and had to be destroyed, then three more were sent to pick them up.
Cost: just the two transport planes were worth about $200 million, not counting other expenses. Netizens joked: This isn’t a rescue, it’s burning money.
Things got even more complicated, with both sides “talking past each other”:
Iranian military said: the US rescue operation was a “total failure,” shooting down a Black Hawk helicopter and a C-130 transport plane, with several US casualties, and released videos of the wreckage.
Trump said: successfully rescued the two pilots, with no US casualties.
And there’s an interesting detail:
Although the Strait of Hormuz is officially blocked, the actual number of ships passing might be twice the official count. Many ships turn off radios quietly; the Iranian Revolutionary Guard patrols actively on-site, while the US basically ignores it.
Finally, Iran proposed a “toll scheme”:
Want to pass through the strait? Sure, but you have to pay “toll money,” until Iran’s losses in the war are compensated. The reason: the war was caused by Israel and Gulf countries. Since they aren’t paying Israel, they’ll pay the sheikhs instead—sounds pretty fair?
Pakistan wants to be a peacemaker, but Iran isn’t buying it; the US rescue was successful but costly, Iran says “you messed up”; the strait remains tense, but ships are secretly passing; Iran is also starting to openly charge “toll fees.”
This game of chess is still early. What do you think will happen next? $BTC $ETH