ShanxiFreeBrother

WLFI and Justin Sun have a falling out!
WLFI said that Justin Sun habitually uses the "playing the victim" tactic to cover up issues, claiming to have contracts and evidence, and will see him in court.
Justin Sun responded in kind: accusing WLFI of secretly implanting backdoors, arbitrarily freezing user funds, and treating the community as an ATM, demanding the other party come forward with real names and take responsibility as the largest investor.
Both sides are speaking quite harshly, one claims to have "evidence," the other calls themselves the "victim + major backer."
Who is real

The core logic of the Iran-U.S. conflict:
1. The nuclear issue is a deadlock: Iran wants the right to enrich uranium for civilian use, but the U.S. (especially Israel and Sunni neighboring countries) will never allow Shia to develop nuclear potential. This is the biggest disagreement in negotiations; the killing of Soleimani was also related to this.
2. The Strait of Hormuz is the chessboard: the U.S. wants to "co-manage" or blockade it, Iran wants to charge tolls for passage. From the U.S. perspective, maintaining Iran's threat to the Gulf monarchs but keeping it controllable best serves its

The negotiation situation between Iran and the U.S. in Islamabad can be summarized into these key points:
1. The negotiation process has been unpredictable: Initially, the two sides did not even meet face-to-face, with Pakistan acting as an intermediary, and each session lasting 1-2 hours. But later, CCTV reported that both sides are "sitting at the same table" and beginning direct talks.
2. Iran set tough preconditions: Iran proposed non-negotiable demands, including full control of the Strait of Hormuz, unconditional unfreezing of all frozen assets by the U.S., payment of war reparations, an

Iran’s hardline message: If you don’t pay, then the strait is blocked
Iran’s recent statement has a pretty intense tone, with three key points:
1. Demand compensation—seek war reparations and the blood-debt of martyrs from the invaders; in plain terms, it’s about making the opponent pay.
2. Take control of the strait— the Strait of Hormuz is entering a new phase; it likely means more forceful control over this global oil lifeline.
3. Huddle up and act together— all resistance fronts unify to settle accounts, not fighting alone.
Don’t want to fight, but don’t mess with me; pay compens

These past few days, the news has been overwhelming, with reports of a US-Iran ceasefire, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Israel's intense strikes on Hezbollah, and Trump talking about joint management of the strait... The information explosion is intense. I'll briefly sort through it and share some of my own judgments.
1. The ceasefire is real, but extremely fragile
On Wednesday morning at 8 a.m., the US and Iran reached a 14-day temporary ceasefire, and Hormuz agreed to reopen. The global markets took a big breath of relief, and oil prices also fell. But before that breath was even ta

1. How did the ceasefire come about? Mainly because Pakistan desperately mediated, and finally China stepped in at a critical moment, leading Iran to agree to a two-week ceasefire. Even Trump acknowledged that China played a major role.
2. Iran announced a "victory," listing 8 demands, such as the US paying compensation, withdrawing from the Middle East, lifting all sanctions, and recognizing Iran's control of the Strait... But honestly, the US probably won't agree to any of these conditions, and Iran is just shouting slogans internally.
3. Israel is unhappy, wanting to continue bombing, feeli

Tonight at 8 PM Eastern Time, the verdict will be out, and oil prices might surge first
Brothers, this final ultimatum from Iran and the U.S. is no joke

Everyone's first reaction to rising oil prices is that inflation is coming, and the central bank will raise interest rates.
This oil price shock isn't due to excessive demand but rather supply being blocked (like the Strait of Hormuz).
While central bank rate hikes can suppress demand, they can't increase oil supply. In fact, high oil prices are essentially a tax increase on households and businesses, which will drag down consumption and investment.
Historically, in 1973, 2008, and 2011, there were similar patterns: central banks focused on rising oil prices and raised rates, only to be quickl

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Last 48 hours of the Iran situation: Just one breath away—fight or talk?
Key Turning Points
Trump’s “10-day ultimatum” was originally set to expire today, with plans to bomb Iran’s infrastructure on April 6.
But he suddenly said, “A ceasefire might be reached,” pushing it back to April 7—final clarity will come in the last 24 hours.
Ceasefire Proposal: Islamabad Agreement (pushed by Pakistan)
Phase 1: Immediate ceasefire + Iran opens the Strait of Hormuz + the US and Israel stop bombing
Phase 2: Face-to-face negotiations within 15–20 days to swap for a long-term ceasefire
Th

72 Transformations! The US-Iran Situation
First, the main point: someone is mediating a ceasefire.
Pakistan has proposed a plan, aiming for both sides to cease fire first, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and then negotiate a final agreement within 15 to 20 days—probably Iran promises not to develop nuclear weapons in exchange for the US lifting sanctions and unfreezing assets.
But Iran immediately “dampened the enthusiasm”:
They won’t accept a deadline, and don’t expect pressure.
They won’t open the strait just for a “temporary ceasefire.”
They openly state that the US is not ready for a “permane

Iran's move is truly brilliant!!!
Iran doesn't accept USD; the toll for passing through the Strait of Hormuz is only accepted in RMB and stablecoins. Most countries don't hold RMB, so they have to buy USDT or USDC.
The Revolutionary Guard will give you a one-time wallet address on the Tron network, and after transferring the funds, they'll give you an 8-digit password. When the ship reaches the strait, broadcast the password to the Iranian station; if correct, they let you pass, if wrong, sink the ship...
Iran receives stablecoins and instantly exchanges them for Bitcoin and gold. The U.S. can

From "The Female Buffett" to "The Harvesting Machine for Retail Investors," Woodie's story is more heartbreaking than you think
Do you know "Woodie"? She’s the former Wall Street female fund manager who was worshiped a few years ago.
In early 2021, she was at the peak of her life. Managing $59 billion, called "The Female Buffett," her memes flooded Reddit, retail investors blindly pouring money into her fund.
And now? Her scale has dropped from $59 billion to just over $30k, a 75% decline. The media has changed its tone, calling her a "flash in the pan," and fans are calling her "the opposite

U.S. military aircraft shot down in Iran, oil prices still high at $109
Just saw the news—U.S. officials have admitted it: a U.S. fighter jet was shot down inside Iran, and the crew’s whereabouts are unknown. Rescue teams are desperately searching for them, trying to get there before Iran does.
In addition, Iran’s highest Beik highway bridge has also been blown to pieces. Trump has said he will still strike energy, power plant, and water conservancy projects—if there’s no negotiation, he’ll beat you back to the Stone Age. Iran’s military fired back: then send the enemy back to the Stone Ag

Trump is at it again: attacking Iran, hyping himself up, and messing with the capital markets
At 9 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday morning, Trump delivered his speech on schedule. The content was 80% self-praise: claiming overwhelming victory over Iran, that nuclear facilities are almost destroyed, and missile capabilities are basically crippled. The remaining 20% was about the real issues: in the next 2-3 weeks, they will step up efforts to bomb power plants, oil fields, and force Iran to negotiate.
The Strait of Hormuz? Trump said: We have more than enough oil, no need. Whoever needs oil can h

95-year-old Buffett's First In-Depth Interview After Stepping Down: Talking Apple, Nukes, Gates—Every Word Is Valuable Insights
Just finished Buffett's first in-depth interview after stepping down as CEO. The old man is 95 years old and in incredible shape. He didn’t talk about the past at all, only looked forward. Here are a few points that left a deep impression on me:
1. Retirement? Not happening.
He still goes to the office every day, makes calls with subordinates before the market opens to discuss trades, and secretly bought a little stock (he didn’t say what). Officially handed over th

Recently, the news from the Middle East has been quite intense. Let me briefly summarize the key points from these past few days.
1. Ceasefire Signals and Internal Conflicts
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi (a moderate) publicly stated that they are willing to end the war, but require the U.S. and Israel to provide reliable guarantees of "non-aggression." After this statement, global stock markets surged. However, shortly after, Iran's Deputy Speaker of Parliament said: According to the constitution, the decision to go to war or peace lies with the Supreme Leader, and no negotiations have bee

Trump's words are really as unpredictable as the wind direction in the Strait of Hormuz. A few days ago, he was talking about crushing Iran's oil industry, and now he's saying that even if the strait is closed, there can still be a ceasefire. He also took a shot at allies who haven't followed him to fight Iran, telling countries like the UK, "Either come to the US to buy oil, or muster the courage to seize it yourself."
Iran is quite clever in responding. Taking advantage of the US rushing to withdraw, they directly proposed a "Strait Toll Law"—international law says this strait can't be charg

The game between Iran and the U.S. is getting more intense.
Iran has been offline for over a month, with only 1%-3% of its international data traffic remaining compared to pre-war levels. Black market Starlink devices are being sold at sky-high prices, and the government is cracking down hard—arresting anyone caught. Food inflation has doubled, and over half of people's monthly income is spent on food. Public services like water, electricity, healthcare, and communication are intermittently disrupted, forcing people to endure.
The biggest variable now is Hormuz Island. It’s the lifeline of Ira

Let's talk about a recent hot topic in the crypto world, it's quite interesting.
Currently, the GENIUS Act stipulates that stablecoin issuers cannot directly pay interest to holders, but it leaves a loophole—there's no mention that third parties can't do so. So exchanges and DeFi platforms are using "yield rewards" as a way to indirectly pay interest. The new Clarity Act aims to close this loophole, but the gray area still exists.
It reminds me of a story from 700 years ago.
Back then, the Knights Templar developed a form of "encrypted cross-border payment"—you deposit gold in London, they giv

Morgan Stanley is stepping into the game, and this time it's for real.
They just filed an S-1 with the SEC to launch their own spot Bitcoin ETF, code-named MSBT. The management fee is directly cut to 0.14%, lower than both BlackRock and Grayscale.
Why so low? Because Morgan Stanley has 16,000 financial advisors, who are bound by fiduciary duty. If the fee is too high, they simply can't push the product. Lowering the fee to the minimum clears obstacles within their internal channels.
Who are the clients served by these advisors? The baby boomer generation in the U.S., holding 52% of the w