#BTC站上$64K，后续会迎来大涨吗？

Market Review (
The long-term trend of the BTC continues to remain volatile and downward, and the strength of the fall downward trend continues to increase, and there is no short volume in the intraday at this time. The deviation continues. If the price can go directly to 52000 and below this month, then it will soon be able to enter the Margin Replenishment, and if it continues to remain volatile, this pullback will last for more than 3 months.
The strength of the medium-term upward pump trend continues to strengthen, but the intraday volume [long is dominant] is not large. The price also failed to effectively break through the pressure around 64000.
The strength of the trend on the pump side of the 12-hour cycle has not been significantly enhanced, and the intraday volume is long, not counting the long, and the trend continues to remain Sideways volatile, but the price continues to test upward, trying to break through the pressure around 64,000. [Expression of hatching]
The trend of the 6-hour cycle has affected the current trend of the entire market, before the fall is too long, there is a Rebound demand, before the news comes out, the deviation repair is insufficient, and the subsequent news comes out after the price Rebound sharply. Go directly to the critical pressure around 64000. However, the trend itself does not appear to be in a state of upward deviation. At this time, the strength of the upward pump trend continues to weaken.
The 4-hour cycle has directly affected the trend of the entire market, the rebound trend is too strong, has caused a large upward deviation, plus the recent pressure of 64000, so the price is now rising in green, there is a strong pullback demand. The nearest support is around 61500.
The expression of the 1-hour period near 61500 is - if the price directly and effectively falls below 61500, it will cause a large downward deviation to produce rebound demand, and a large number of short transactions generated by the falling process is the pressure that needs to be paid attention to in the subsequent rebound, then the pressure does not break through, the trend begins to turn and re-enter the downward falling trend, you can enter the short order.
ETH has been pumping sideways for 3 weeks in the long term, and if it still can't continue to make new lows this week, then it will also be spent sideways, then the strength of the trend will be weakened next week, and then there will be a medium-term sharp upward trend.
In the medium-term market, the strength of the upward pump trend is weak, and the intraday long head volume is less, the price remains volatile and upward, and the nearest support near 3000 failed to effectively fall the last time, and the pressure ahead is around 3300.
In the 12-hour period, the price remains sideways, there is a normal volume in the intraday but cannot support the price pump, and the trend strength itself is weak. There is no significant change in the strength of the trend.
The 6-hour period price is trying to top, the strength of the upward pump continues to weaken, and there is nothing wrong with the trend itself, there is neither a rebound demand nor a pullback demand.
The 4-hour cycle is also trying to top, the MACD is beginning to turn, and there are shorter volumes in the intraday to match the trend. Since the price failed to break through the pressure around 3150, a successful topping will form a secondary high. Meets the definition of a downward falling trend. [Did not destroy the original downward falling trend]
The 1-hour cycle is confirming the top, of course, the price must be 3145 to be considered a successful top, at this time the strength of the downward fall trend of the disk is increasing, there are short heads in the intraday volume cooperating, the price has not been able to fall the low position of 3080 in front of it, that is, the short-term near point support.
Conclusion, keep yesterday's orders unchanged, and now do not go long operations. You can wait for a falling action, as well as a subsequent rebound turn, and you can enter the normal position
The plan order is hung at 3060, the stop loss is placed at 3110~3120, and the maximum stop loss loss is not more than 5% of the principal [already considered a large Position], and the profit target is at least around 2970. The first short-term profit target.
BTC is also a short order, the entry is at 62500 [planned order], the stop loss is at 63500, the first profit target is at 61500, the second is at 60500, and the third is around 59300 with a large number of lows.
The operation method of yesterday's order is that the short-term deviation after the price falls, pay attention to the U-turn action of the MA10 moving average, and be ready to reduce position at any time. After the subsequent rebound has completed the turn, you can increase the position again.
The maximum loss of sweeping stop loss shall not exceed 5% of the principal, and the general Position shall not exceed 2% or 3% stop loss the loss of sweeping to .
After the opening of the market tomorrow morning, before noon, the orders are not filled, or the stop loss is swept away, and no subsequent operations will be done for the time being.
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Small coin observation
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The market is not reasonable or unreasonable, and our "subjective" perception cannot change the trend of the market. But we can see some "unreasonable" places, "unreasonable" represents the instability of the subsequent trend.
The trend turn is always a top-down structure, and it has nothing to do with the MACD. MACD can only express the strength of the trend, as well as the trend itself, and does not represent a trend turn.
Deduction is not speculation, but what may happen to the next trend when certain conditions are met. These can be predicted in advance. It is not so that after the trend appears, there is no reaction.
There is no magic number in the market, and no one "number" can set the tone. to guide trading, which is unscientific.
We analyze the actions that are objectively expressed on the board, but the analysis conclusions are subjective. Then the logic of entering the market is objective - the action of the objective performance of the plate indicates that it can be entered, so it is entered. So whether we can make money or not, long we can make or not, depending on the market, we can't control [variables], but we can control our Position and stop loss.
If WIF wants to contact Spot, it is too early. Since it is on the SOL on-chain, it will not be much worse. However, at least wait for the end of the long-term pullback in the broader market. And it is not recommended to buy too long. √
Op, the strength of the medium-term upward pump trend is weakening, the previous downward deviation has been completely repaired, the 12-hour period is trying to break the Sideways lows in the fall, and the 1-hour period is also trying to break the fall action, and the volume is starting to increase. Then the follow-up operation is the same as the market. The support ahead is around 2.66, and it will stop here in the short term, start to Rebound, Rebound can't go up, and the turning point can enter the short. √