The AI Agent race has reached its darkest moment, Depth analysis of the internal and external causes of big dump and a guide to Holder bail-in.

Author: Haotian

The AI Agent is in a continuous downturn, and the entire track feels as oppressive as dark clouds pressing down on the city, making people feel heartbroken and breathless. Everyone wants to know, what exactly is going on? It’s very frustrating that no one can answer this question. Here, we will analyze the unfavorable factors currently facing the AI Agent on the track, and provide some guidance for future operations for several holders for reference:

Negative factors:

1）The turmoil of $TRUMP coin has disrupted the narrative evolution rhythm of AI Agent, which is undoubtedly the biggest external factor. Due to the lack of on-chain liquidity and the blockage of CEX, a bunch of celebrity MEME coins emerged, causing most people to Fomo sell their AI Agent holdings to chase after new coins. This back and forth has destroyed the stable and nurturing environment for the development of AI Agent.

2. The short-term ‘rapid flow’ of MEME-ized asset issuance has lost its value anchoring, which is an undeniable internal factor. On the one hand, the speed of AI Agent’s narrative evolution is too fast. In just three months, it has gone from pure AI MEME to individual AI, framework standards, DeFai, MetAiverse, GameFai, and other segmented tracks, without enough time to build technical value support and implementation.

On the other hand, under the premise of speculative support without value, ‘quick passage’ has become the inevitable path for most projects. Just because the Dev provides a Github Repo and a vision statement, can it be quickly passed to 50m-300m? This makes the project lose its real value judgment and can only operate with some PVP first and second methods. In the end, many good projects are facing the dilemma of being smashed after a quick passage, and it is probably difficult to rely on Dev to promote good news at this time.

Of course, there are also macro factors that contribute to the overall market downturn, such as the collective withdrawal of liquidity from high-risk assets on the chain.

In short, regardless of external factors or internal factors, an originally anticipated PVE-based AI infrastructure market with valuable evaluation criteria has become an indiscriminate PVP Gambling market, and the current despair, agony, and helplessness are all evidence of this.

Reference Guide for Future Market Operations:

After clarifying the big background, it should be clear that it is meaningless to worry about whether the AI Agent track should return to zero. Because good PVE targets will only be temporarily affected by the overall environment and ‘hibernate’, while poor PVP targets may emerge as ‘zombies’ from many assets on the verge of zeroing out. So what should we do next?

1. Find a good target anchored in value support, yes, it’s like finding gold in a garbage dump. Even in an uptrend, garbage projects may be hyped to cover the shine of good assets by conspiracy groups, but the possibility of value targets ‘emerging’ in a downtrend is greater, such as: finding projects that continue to build positive news in a big crash environment, finding good projects where Devs continue to innovate despite the passive environment, finding projects where the on-chain holding addresses continue to grow in a sustained bear market, and so on.

2. Organize your portfolio, abandon the illusion of junk assets, and switch to valuable coins. Understand that even if AI Agent makes a strong comeback, some junk assets will definitely become abandoned. Only projects with value support have the possibility of turning around. Take advantage of the market crash to narrow down your holdings and focus on high-value assets, at least with the possibility of recovering your investment. For specific details, please refer to the previously shared allocation logic.

3. Stop the Fomo New Express project. When the entire track is declining, what reason do retail investors have to believe that a project worth hundreds of millions of dollars is rational? Moreover, there is not much difference between the strong chain express project and the high FDV VC coin project of the exchange. The opportunity on the chain refers to the opportunity to discover high-quality Alpha projects one step ahead of others, and the risk of Fomo entry is more dangerous than that of the secondary market.

4. Sitting still and waiting, waiting quietly for the flowers to bloom, the significance of the AI Agent track to Crypto is enduring and unchanging. The overall trend cannot be altered, and I have reiterated my views many times in previous articles, so I won’t go into detail. If you can accomplish 1, 2, and 3, all you need to do is wait for the opportunity, nothing more.