# 美联储货币政策预期

#美联储货币政策预期 Looking back, this situation is not uncommon. Large-scale capital flows triggered by changes in Federal Reserve policy expectations have been seen frequently throughout the history of the digital asset market. Last week, net outflows from digital asset investment products reached $1.43 billion, hitting a new high since March, reminding me of similar scenarios in 2018 and 2020.
At that time, the market fluctuated dramatically due to the Federal Reserve's indecisive policy stance. Especially in March 2020, at the beginning of the pandemic outbreak, the Federal Reserve's significant i

#美联储货币政策预期 Recently, I've noticed some new trends in the Bitcoin market. On-chain data shows that the short-term holding cost basis is quite important and has been providing support. Although the price is still being pressed in the range of $114,000 to $118,000, the attitude of long-term holders is easing, and ETF funds have also flowed back, suggesting that demand seems to be stabilizing. Market sentiment appears to be cooling down, resembling a consolidation phase rather than a collapse. Over in the options market, it just experienced a record-setting expiration day, and positions have

#美联储货币政策预期 I've been closely monitoring changes in market liquidity over the past few days, and Arthur Hayes' views are indeed worth paying attention to. The Fed's quantitative tightening is about to end, and bank credit expansion is also underway—these signs all suggest that liquidity is improving. However, I still tend to remain cautious.
BTC is consolidating below $90,000, and in the short term, there's still a possibility of retesting $80,000. But I agree with Hayes' assessment that the $80,000 level should hold. With the end of the year approaching, some market volatility is likely.
For

#美联储货币政策预期 After watching the latest statements from the Fed officials, I feel that there are quite significant internal differences among them. Milan and Besant are more dovish, expecting a rate cut in December. However, Hamak and Schmidt are more hawkish, leaning towards keeping the Intrerest Rate unchanged due to concerns about inflation risks.
This divergence is actually an opportunity for us. We can pay attention to the airdrop strategies of new projects and see if there are any related to the Fed's policies. For example, if you think there will be a rate cut in the end, you can part

#美联储货币政策预期 Seeing this news, I am truly both surprised and excited! A major bank like JPMorgan predicting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December is a huge positive for the crypto market. Rate cuts mean loose monetary policy, making it easier for funds to flow into risk assets, and Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are likely to experience a rally. However, we should also remain rational, as there is still a gap between market expectations and actual policy. Anyway, this news gives us more confidence that the future of decentralized finance remains bright. Everyone can p

#美联储货币政策预期 Federal Reserve officials seem to be shifting their attitude toward rate cuts. Statements from Daly and Mester indicate they are leaning toward starting rate cuts in December. From on-chain data, this shift in expectations could impact capital flows in the crypto market. I will closely monitor net capital inflows at major exchanges and the behavioral patterns of whale addresses. If rate cuts do happen in December, it could stimulate demand for risk assets and drive up cryptocurrency prices. However, it's also important to be cautious of volatility risks caused by market overreactio

#美联储货币政策预期 The Fed's rate cut expectations have risen, and market sentiment is surging! Bitcoin briefly broke through $89,000, and this round of gains is worth watching. However, we need to analyze calmly. Although there is positive news, market volatility still exists. It is recommended that everyone closely monitor the outcome of the December Fed meeting and also manage risks carefully. For those who want to participate, consider building positions in batches instead of going all in at once. Remember, reasonable asset allocation and risk control are the keys to long-term profits.

#美联储货币政策预期 Recently saw news about the Fed's monetary policy expectations and found it very worth following. Analysis shows that if the Fed releases a clear signal for interest rate cuts, Bitcoin may reach new highs in the fourth quarter. Currently, the market fundamentals are good, ETF fund inflows are continuous, and there is also demand for safe havens. Everyone can closely follow the Fed's subsequent meeting trends, and once the policy shift is confirmed, Bitcoin is likely to welcome a new round of pump. It is recommended to prepare in advance and pay attention to airdrop opportun

#美联储货币政策预期 Recent market trends seem to be validating my previous analysis. IMF President Georgieva expects that the Fed may further cut interest rates, which aligns well with the on-chain data I have observed. Capital flows indicate that investors are gradually increasing their allocation to interest rate-sensitive assets. At the same time, the smart contracts interaction data also reflects a warming expectation in the market regarding a shift in monetary policy. However, it is important to note that this expectation may have already been partially reflected in prices. Moving forward, I will

#美联储货币政策预期 It seems that the expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates in September are getting stronger! Analysts generally believe that even if the inflation data is not ideal, the likelihood of a rate cut is still very high. This is good news for the crypto market! A rate cut usually means a more relaxed funding environment, which may stimulate investors' interest in high-risk assets. However, we must also remain vigilant, as there can sometimes be a gap between market expectations and actual policies. Regardless, this news gives us more reasons to remain optimistic. Let's loo