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Can the US presidential election really affect the future trend of BTC? Let's briefly share whether to look at the 'bull' or the 'bear'.
Many people may think that a Trump victory means a bull market and a Harris victory means a bear market, but I think this is unlikely.
I personally think that the election results will not have a significant impact. Trump's support for encryption is mainly for campaigning. As a risky asset, he cannot promote encryption vigorously once he takes office. Harris is just a puppet, and the BTC ETF was approved during the Democratic Party's tenure, so it won't direc
BTC0,55%
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BTC's Market Cap has reached the position of the three stages of the raging bull in October, the launch of the last Bull Market in 2020.
1. BTC sucks blood, leads the charge, and its market share is rising.
2, BTC Sideways, relative value AltCoin pump.
3. MEME coin is flying all over the place.
We are currently in Phase 1, and altcoins are still following the trend of BTC. It requires more patience for them to have an independent market trend.
From the Market Cap ratio chart, it can be seen that in May 2021, BTC's Market Cap ratio dropped severely oversold on the RSI indicator, and May happene
BTC0,55%
MEME-1%
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Would you buy BTC when it reaches $100,000? 99% of retail investors wouldn't. Coming to the crypto world, a high-risk market, is definitely to seek 10 times the return. Moreover, BTC is so expensive that it's unlikely for newcomers to buy. The probability of a newcomer buying BTC and holding onto it is even lower than the probability of a nuclear war breaking out. If no one buys, BTC will become stagnant and market makers will be left singing alone. How can we attract newcomers? Through crazy advertising. What is the best advertisement? I'll tell you, it's not a celebrity endorsement or a TikT
BTC0,55%
W5,36%
SHIB-1,9%
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11.1 US unemployment rate data (economic recession good or bad data)
On November 5th, the US President (white male Trump: black female Harris)
On November 8th, the Federal Reserve will have its second interest rate cut (probably a 25 basis point cut).
There is also Apple's financial report on November 1st in the middle.
Everyone, take note of the timing. As these presidential elections, interest rate cuts, and other super news days approach, the market pace will get faster and faster. In the later stages of the bull market, the market pace will also get faster and faster. Be prepared for rapid
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Last week, BTC surged past $68,000, and the market maker has given a clear signal. It is exclusively judged that BTC will soon reach a new high. Let's wait and see. Please ignore the fluctuations before the election on November 5th, otherwise you will feel dizzy and unable to get on the bus later. ​​​
#币圈观察员 #你看好的AI meme币是?
BTC0,55%
MEME-1%
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Gold has hit another all-time high, with a cumulative pump of about 35% this year. Although the increase is not as high as that of digital gold BTC, this one-sided trend is really pleasing to the eye, much better than BTC's half-year oscillation. ​​​[鲜花][鲜花][鲜花]
#币圈观察员
BTC0,55%
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#BTC has really been in consolidation for almost half a month. It should have pumped up last week, but it was delayed due to the Silk Road. However, the price is obviously still low. The stock market has pumped up again, and most of the funds will come back. Take a good long order and eat the big wave.
BTC0,55%
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LuckyYearForCianZaivip:
7
In a bull run, you can make money as long as you don't make any rash moves. Who is losing money when it's so easy to make money? Those who frequently change positions lose money, those who chase rising prices and sell with a bearish market lose money, and newbies who enter the market at the end of a bull run lose money. #币圈观察员 #本轮牛市将会是meme币大牛吗?
MEME-1%
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The A-share market has reached 3500 points. Will Ether still be far from $3000? Retail investors are leaving one after another, making the market lighter. Market makers are highly controlling the market trend and may trigger a sudden surge at any time. ​​​
#币圈观察员 #本轮牛市将会是meme币大牛吗?
ETH-0,17%
MEME-1%
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A few years ago, the average person could buy 1 whole BTC, now they can only afford about 0.1 BTC, and in a few years, they may only be able to buy 0.0001 BTC. With the rapid pump in price, more and more participants are joining, but the average holding amount will decrease. It's like continuous stock dilution, and in ten years, there may be a billion participants in BTC. The process of popularizing BTC is the process of becoming a currency.
#币圈观察员 #十月上涨行情能如期而至吗?
BTC0,55%
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Now it seems that fewer and fewer people are playing in the crypto world, not because the market itself is bad, but because there is no wealth effect, which makes people unable to see hope.
And once in the coming months, altcoin big pump several times, the market heats up, there will be a large number of retail investor rush into dumb buying.
Most people believe because they see, only a few believe and then see.
#币圈观察员 #十月上涨行情能如期而至吗?
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Why persevere in long-termism? Take a simple example.
Try to judge the probability of tomorrow being a rise or fall, how likely is it to be correct?
50%, both rise and fall are possible. If you go long or short-term in contracts, it's very easy to lose money.
Judging whether it will rise or fall next year, and based on the cycle, the conclusion is that it will rise with a correct probability of 99%. So, buying this year and selling next year seems like an easy way to make money, but unfortunately 80% of people don't have this patience, thus achieving the 20%.
#币圈观察员
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Why does the investment market closely follow the Pareto principle? Why do 80% of people lose money? Because the 20% who make money are not greedy and have a clear understanding of themselves, while the 80% think they can buy low and sell high, so they watch the market every day, trying to catch every rise and fall. But in reality, it is often the opposite. If you watch the market too much, you will only cut losses when it falls, even if I tell you it will rise back soon, you can't help but take action.
And most people will also find a reasonable excuse for themselves to come out for hedging.
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After the bull run, every group is buzzing with excitement, screenshots of profits flying all over the place. From 100,000 to 1 million, from 1 million to 10 million, there are indeed quite a few. If you have positions, you basically wake up and find that your assets have increased a lot. You might think that you're going to get rich and start making moves. So you call your friends and tell everyone that you're going to get rich and invite them to join you. With an initial capital of 500,000, you've already made 1 million, and in a few days it becomes 2 million. You start thinking about making
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For the next market, buy at a place where no one cares, and do whatever you want before you achieve financial freedom. Making money is always your top priority. Sell when there is a lot of noise, don't have any nostalgia, always be fearless of selling high, selling high is the way to make long-term profits. When the market starts to get busy, everyone starts shouting to buy blindly, all kinds of experts come out to show off, the fear and greed index reaches a new high, news media advertisements are everywhere, and Google search index explodes. At this time, leaving this market will never be wr
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There are three opinions about the arrival of the next bull run. One is that the big bull will come after the Fed cuts interest rates twice this year, around October to November. The second opinion is that the big flood after the rate cut takes time, and there will be no big bull in the short term. The big bull will come next year. The third opinion is that the big bull has already started. Which of these three opinions do you stand on?
#币圈观察员 #BTC能否将64K压力位转为支撑位,迎来持续上涨?
BTC0,55%
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In the current situation of the crypto world, every concentrated outbreak of long positions sentiment is often a signal of the market's temporary peak. Therefore, repeated Whipsaw and steady progress are the most ideal performance for bottom Rebound. Only by maintaining patience can we wait for the main uptrend. ​​​
#币圈观察员
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MicroStrategy bought 18,000 BTC worth $1.1 billion in the past month. Institutions like MicroStrategy wouldn't choose to buy BTC at the beginning of a bear market, and that's enough. ​​​
#币圈观察员
BTC0,55%
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The liquidity will definitely improve in the fourth quarter. This bull market has a long battle line, with half a year of wide-range fluctuations and altcoins falling all the way. Spot traders are basically confused and there are many cases of getting liquidated and dropping to zero for contract traders who have gotten out of positions. No matter how amazing the traders are, they have lost a lot. The market has been so extremely complex in the past six months that it is normal to lose money. Don't be discouraged. Keeping a calm mindset and thinking rationally in any situation is the most impor
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Emotions are like a big spring. The more it is squeezed in the early stage, the more powerful the Rebound will be later. After each big dump, most people feel hopeless about the market and cut loss one after another, with few daring to catch the bottom. However, Proof of History shows that those who go against human nature and catch the bottom often reap great rewards.
In 1794, BTC fell to $2900 at one point. If you caught the bottom at that time, just three months later, it rose to $20,000, close to a 7-fold return. ETH soared from $200 to $1400, also a 7-fold rise. The performance of AltCoin
BTC0,55%
ETH-0,17%
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