投机倒把小学生

Beijing time 02:00 on April 9, 2026 (Thursday), the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the March FOMC meeting.
These minutes were recorded during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) monetary policy meeting held from March 17 to 18, 2026.
Trump probably doesn't have the time or mind to draw candlestick charts; the person drawing candlesticks should be hidden within his staff team.

Setting aside trading, purely from a geopolitical gossip perspective, the result of this kind of low-intensity conflict between the US and Iran right now should be the best possible outcome for American interests: the lowest cost and the highest returns.
The logic is simple: if the fighting goes even deeper—especially if it involves U.S. ground forces making advances—the cost would increase exponentially, while returns would have already topped out. If Iran’s highly centralized military government were truly overthrown completely and Iran entered an era of utter chaos, then shipping security

The analysis of Bitcoin's bear market bottom and the next cycle's bull market top concludes that: an era of chaos has ended, and Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative tool for ordinary people to cross social classes.

People can make money and become wealthy through trading, but never view the exchange as a place for work or stable daily income.
If someone relies on trading profits to cover daily expenses, or even luxury cars and mansions, they will lose the most valuable weapon in the market—objectivity and composure.
The pressure of life can turn people into anxious gamblers, with distorted actions, ultimately leading to losses and bankruptcy.
You can make a living through trading, but do not live solely by trading.

If during a Bitcoin trend you are afraid to add positions on unrealized gains, then you should close your position.

Why do mainstream institutional traders always tend to price in "the best-case scenario"?
Modern financial models are based on normal distribution. For catastrophic tail risks like high-intensity warfare, COVID-19, and global supply chain disruptions, their probabilities are extremely low in the model, and once they occur, all assets suffer devastating losses.
For the vast majority of institutional traders, "betting on doomsday" is an extremely poor career move: if doomsday doesn't come, you miss out on a bull market or major rally due to hedging and face accountability or termination; if doom

A crash is usually preceded by a sharp spike, and sharp spikes always end in a crash.
Thus the cycle repeats, accompanying and generating each other, inseparable and inevitable.

What is patience?
The answer is: 2×2=5-1

Driving,
You can't always stare at the engine hood,
look 300 meters ahead,
The same applies to trading.

Why do bulls seem to be more carefree than bears even during a Bitcoin bear market?
1. Bear markets often feature sideways declines and sharp rallies. During sideways declines, bear profits accumulate slowly. When a sharp rally occurs, bear profits are quickly wiped out. Without strong resolve and mental resilience, this can be difficult to endure.
2. In a bear market, retail bulls can switch to holding spot assets, adopting an ostrich mentality—pretending to be dead—since as long as they don't sell, they don't realize a loss, and thus remain less anxious. Bears, on the other hand, often use l

Both the East and West have emerged with two dominant leaders, one fast and one slow, one offensive and one defensive.
One excels at high-pressure, relentless attacks that see blood with every strike; the other possesses great strategic wisdom, calm and steady in their approach.
On one side is tactical rapid advancement, attempting to break the deadlock with absolute force; on the other side is strategic patience, trading time for space and using systemic resilience to absorb external shocks.
Trump said he is not worried about the oil issue because he knows there are people who are more

Others don't fall when the market drops, not because their assets are inherently strong, but because the distribution hasn't ended yet, or the liquidity crisis hasn't spread to them. Once cross-asset margin calls trigger a chain reaction, the resilient star will instead become the final sacrifice.

Seeing the news that Bitdeer, the Little Deer of Bitcoin, is liquidating its Bitcoin holdings, I have mixed feelings. Most people haven't yet recognized a harsh reality: in the crypto world, if you don't have timing skills, most companies that mess around will ultimately fail to outperform simply holding Bitcoin.
Many think that buying mining company stocks is equivalent to leveraged trading in crypto, but that's not the case. Let's analyze: during a bear market, crypto prices fall below the break-even point, but the expenses for mining companies—electricity bills, staff wages, equipment depre