12.1 Afternoon Thoughts

Over the weekend, Bitcoin oscillated and consolidated above 90,000 for two days, reaching a maximum rebound at the 92,000 mark but failing to hold. It then entered a downward mode. This morning at 8 o'clock, the weekly candle closed simultaneously, and the market immediately faced a sharp decline. After losing the 89,000 support, it continued to drop, reaching a low of 86,300 so far, having fallen over 5,000 points from the 92,000 high!

Regarding this wave of decline, many voices in the market attribute it to the regulatory news from the domestic front the day b

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in December has soared to 87.4%! Is this wave of expectations about to be "nailed down"?
CME Fed Watch latest data: The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has surged to 87.4%, with only a 12.6% chance of maintaining the current rate; the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut in January next year is also 23.2%.
This expectation is basically "set in stone" - the certainty of liquidity easing is becoming increasingly high, which is a clear benefit for the crypto market. But now there's a contradiction: on one ha

12/1 BTC early morning operation analysis
The current price is in a strong resistance zone between 93000 and 93400. After breaking through 90000 driven by positive news on November 26, the trading volume has continued to shrink, lacking support from funds. After briefly breaking above 93000, it quickly fell under pressure. The weekly chart needs to effectively engulf the 94500 starting point to confirm a stabilization reversal, and the current volume is severely insufficient; the monthly chart is opening downward, indicating medium to long-term pressure; the 4-hour chart continues to operat

12.1ETH early morning analysis
The Ethereum 3100 range is a key resistance level. If it fails to break through this range, it may trigger a second wave of deep correction.
The daily chart shows that its RSI is approaching the overbought zone, and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates a buildup of volatility. Once it breaks below the key support around 3000, it is highly likely to revisit around 2985.
Ethereum Suggestion: Short in the range of 3045-3075, with a target looking down to below 3025-3000-2985 #加密市场回暖 #加密市场观察 #今日你看涨还是看跌？

Will there be a major earthquake in the crypto world next week? Urgent reminder: Retail investors should do 3 things, otherwise don't blame me for the heavy losses!
Wow, major global events are piling up: China's PMI, U.S. inflation data, Fed Chair Powell's speech, and the Bank of Japan's interference... Don't be fooled by these fancy names; they are all closely related to our crypto world!
First, let's highlight the key points: there are so many events next week that it will be overwhelming!
On Monday, China's PMI data leads the way, followed by the U.S. "little no

Did you know? Tomorrow the Fed will announce the end of QT quantitative tightening. How will Bitcoin perform?
It is evident that the market has seen a flurry of positive news from the end of November to the beginning of December, which has supported the continuous rebound of BTC and ETH. Furthermore, next Monday, the Fed will completely halt the quantitative tightening that has lasted for three years, which is also one of the driving forces behind the recent rebound.
However, I personally remain cautious about whether there are small positives that have been fully realized, which is something

Breaking: Fed Chairman Powell stated that the U.S. banking industry can now "freely engage in crypto assets business." This paves the way for true custody, settlement, and access. Regulation is finally clear, and capital always follows clear rules. Crypto assets will soon be as "free" as stocks.
The participation of American banks in cryptocurrency business is permitted, but it still needs to operate under the regulatory framework of institutions such as the Fed and the OCC, with strict risk control and compliance operations. #加密市场回暖 #加密市场观察

The current focus range for BTC: 91100-90000. This trading range is quite stable, consider shorting with a light position at the high end, and placing long orders at the low end.
The same idea for ETH - the trading range from 3015 to 2960, just high sell and low buy will do. #加密市场回暖 #比特币行情观察 #今日你看涨还是看跌？ #加密市场观察

Fam, the year 2026 could be a major turning point! Right now, the risks of US debt, the Japanese yen, and Chinese loans are all increasing. If there is a problem with the US bond auction, the market will immediately fall, and the US dollar might surge. At that time, the Central Bank will have to print money, and generally, during such times, the prices of gold, silver, Bitcoin, and various commodities will rise.
What impact does this have on Bitcoin?
On one hand, everyone is afraid of market problems, so they treat Bitcoin as a safe investment and buy it, which may cause the price of Bitcoin t

11.29 Morning BTC/ETH Strategy

BTC's 4-hour chart has retraced to the middle Bollinger band for support, showing clear characteristics of adjustment and accumulation in an upward trend, with sufficient short-term rebound momentum; ETH is synchronously following the market rhythm, and the upward oscillation structure remains unchanged.

Operational advice: BTC: around 90200-90800, target looks at 91800-92400-93000.
ETH: around 2985-3010, target looking towards 3040-3060-31000 #加密市场回暖 #比特币行情观察 #今日你看涨还是看跌？

Bitcoin/Ether market analysis on the early morning of November 29
From the overall daily trend observation, it has always maintained a fluctuating state. In the evening, the market experienced a spike, prompting a rapid price retracement. In the hourly candlestick chart, a long upper shadow was left above the candlestick, and this typical technical pattern clearly indicates strong selling pressure above, with the bulls' upward attack being blocked, leading to a continuous decline in the coin price.
The four-hour K-line shows an alternating trend of two bullish candles and one bearish candl