LighthouseSays

Let’s talk about trading:
Current market volatility is more affected by changes in the situation.
The reference weight of technical analysis is too low.
These past two days are a turbulent turning point.
Combined with technical analysis, I’m making the following plan:
$BTC I’m currently flat with no short position, but I expect to open a short position around 69,000 and hold it during today’s rebound.
$XAU I’m holding a short position on gold near 4,700 from yesterday, planning to take profit around the 45-44 area.
$CL Crude oil is currently short from the 113 upper position; I’ll carry it

Tomorrow morning at 8 a.m. is the deadline for Iran's ceasefire agreement
But hope is slim
Will Trump fulfill his promise of a full strike?
If he does, how will he strike?
Crude oil will rise, gold and BTC will both fall
If he doesn't strike,
Gold and BTC will continue to rise with the trend, and crude oil will pull back.
The probability of a strike is high, Iran won't accept such a ceasefire agreement, but Trump also doesn't dare to strike fully, at most a symbolic strike to make a point. Otherwise, no one in the Middle East will trust Trump's warnings anymore.
So, BTC hasn't

Duo Jun, please perform.
Air Force, please summarize!
$BTC

Gold
The recent wave trend judgments are quite aligned.
4100 indicates a rebound is coming.
4400 suggests a rebound expectation to 4800-4900.
Today’s preliminary estimate is that below 4750, it will likely retrace back to around 4400 for a rebound.
The market attribute is a downward correction of the rebound.
It’s not that it won’t rise; under the current risk-averse situation, high oil prices, and inflation expectations with high interest rates, the previous upward momentum driven by risk sentiment has diminished.
After all, the U.S. non-farm payrolls in March exceeded expectati

Let's talk about today's trading:
In a tense market, it's better to step back and wait for the right moment.
$BTC
Currently, BTC is stuck between two liquidity zones, lacking enough momentum to break through:
Above 69K-70K is a clear short liquidation zone, while below 66K-65K remains a support zone for retests.
From a structural perspective, the daily chart is still in a bearish trend, the 4H is just a rebound correction, and the 1H is in a high-level consolidation, so it's not time to confirm a reversal yet.
Today's approach can only be:
In the mid-term, avoid chasing longs around 68K, wait

Now, trading cryptocurrencies, gold, and crude oil by analyzing K-lines is less effective than following the news.
Timely news updates are comparable to the secret to wealth.
Currently, I only found one blogger on Twitter whose quick updates are more timely than media reports.
So, this morning I made two short positions on crude oil and one long position on Bitcoin.
It's too late to chase the gold long position.

Six years ago today, I sold nearly 60 coins and bought a house.
Now, if I sell it, I can only get less than 6 coins.
I want to sell the house and buy back $BTC , but no one is buying it.
So, faith and choices are equally important.

What is life truly about?
#Zhang Xuefeng has passed away

We all know the ending of #siren, but few people can reach the finish line.

Trump is just a damn loudmouth
They should shut his mouth for good
I missed my crude oil 103 short position
Got stopped out too early on my Bitcoin long
But it has nothing to do with Trump
I just think his attitude is too disruptive

A buying opportunity for gold is coming!
Gold has had 9 consecutive down days on the daily chart, with significant volatility
Breaking 4000 is inevitable
But after breaking 4000, a buying opportunity will emerge, not the bottom, but there will definitely be a rebound!
#黄金 # xau

Gold buying opportunity is coming soon!
Gold daily chart shows 9 consecutive down days with large amplitude swings
Breaking 4000 is inevitable
But after breaking 4000, a buying opportunity will emerge—not the lowest point, but a rebound is certain!
#Gold

Morning data push received multiple small whale buying ETH messages!
Among them: "This mysterious whale associated with Erik Voorhees spent another $4.35 million $USDT today, purchasing 2,103 $ETH at $2,069 per unit. Over the past two weeks, this major holder spent $264.37 million $USDT , purchasing 122,355 $ETH at an average price of $2,161 per unit."
Every time there's this kind of news, the market first reverses to shake out stops before pulling up.

# Trade Update:
Yesterday I suddenly realized I didn't know what to post about, so I decided to just write out my trading logic and thoughts directly instead of purely analyzing market conditions.
Let me first go over my current positions. I'm still holding a 74,500 grid short position. The original plan was based on expecting the market to oscillate downward, but it dropped too fast. The grid position didn't accumulate much on the upside, and ironically the fastest drop earned the least profit.
However, after the daily and 4-hour charts reversed directly on Friday, it's clear the short-term t

Next Friday (March 27th), Deribit will see the expiration of crypto-exclusive options totaling up to $13.5 billion.
Currently, the market fear and greed index has dropped to 11.