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FOMC Minutes Show Growing Disagreement
The main issue remains whether to prioritize maintaining stability or supporting growth
To support employment, rate cuts are needed, but this could lead to rising inflation
To curb inflation, no rate cuts or even rate hikes are necessary, which could result in significant unemployment
Based on past experience, the probability of the Federal Reserve prioritizing inflation control over employment is higher, with the 1980s even seeing rate hikes up to 24%. Such a scenario is unimaginable and hard to comprehend today.
A rate hike to 24% is quite extreme, but
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The market looks like dead water; after analyzing it over and over, it's all the same.
No trend, no volatility—what's the point of analyzing? Might as well run a grid bot.
In this kind of market, there's no room and it's easy to retrace.
For trend traders, it's better to just give up on this phase.
For range traders, place orders at fixed points and don't worry about the rest.
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Tomorrow at 3 a.m., the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the monetary policy meeting.
Monetary policy provides the most direct insight into the FOMC's view of the current U.S. economy.
For the FOMC, the most important factors are still employment and inflation, but different interpretations mean there are significant differences in internal views on employment and inflation.
Additionally, it clearly shows the current market outlook of hawks and doves.
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December 30 Daily Market Analysis
News
Yesterday, gold dropped up to 5% intraday, silver fell over 10% intraday, and funds are exiting the precious metals market. From this perspective, it is positive for US stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in January has already dropped to 16.1%, essentially confirming that there will be no rate cut in January. Fortunately, the market has already been digesting this expectation.
Price Action Analysis
The BTC long-term cycle still has not broken out of the box, having moved for more than ten days. The b
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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The post was just published a short while ago, and $BTC BTC, $ETH ETH, and $SOL SOL have already broken through as I expected #ETH走势分析 #今日你看涨还是看跌?
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
SOL4,02%
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Coinbase's Bitcoin is at a negative premium, indicating that at least in the North American market, Bitcoin selling exceeds buying.
Recently, the precious metals market has also been doing well, so the English-speaking community is now generally bearish on Bitcoin and has shifted to the precious metals market.
When the whole world is bearish on a certain asset, that asset often has the potential to rise.
When the whole world is bullish on a certain asset, that asset is usually nearing its end.
#加密市场小幅回暖 #ETH走势分析
See the sentiment of each bull and bear cycle for details.
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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Bitcoin has been consolidating for over a month since November 26th. The daily chart shows 30 K-lines of adjustment, indicating a clear halt after the black swan waterfall. Currently, Bitcoin's consolidation still requires about ten days to half a month of adjustment, or it can be understood as accumulation, and the logic is the same.
From a price action perspective, as long as the box range adjustment lasts long enough, with at least a 50% probability of either rise or fall, combined with the broader macro background, Bitcoin has already broken through a key trend line. Subjectively, the prob
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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December 27 Daily Market Analysis
News
Due to the influence of Christmas, the trading volume of the US stock market yesterday significantly decreased, with most activity concentrated in quantitative trading. The US stock market also experienced a clear oscillation pattern, with opening and closing prices remaining close.
Recently, the best-performing assets have been precious metals, including gold, silver, and copper, especially silver, which rose nearly 10% intraday. A large portion of funds has flowed into the precious metals market, making the cryptocurrency market weaker now.
Price Action
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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December 26 Daily Market Analysis
Last night at 11 PM and this morning at 10 AM, the volume and long-term trend K-lines already indicated significant market fluctuations today, making trading more difficult.
Although yesterday's breakout with increased volume looked impressive, it did not break the 883 range. After testing the upper boundary of the range, it immediately retreated to 870. The breakout only formed this morning, indicating that yesterday's intraday strategy was effective.
Despite the large trend volume and movement amplitude during the breakout, subsequent momentum did not follow
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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This afternoon at 4 PM marks the largest options expiration in history, with BTC options expiring over 20 billion in volume.
The biggest pain point for BTC is at 95,000. Based on the current price, it would require significant capital to push BTC up to 95,000. However, with a clear dominance of call option open interest, even if it doesn't reach 95,000, a slight rally could cause many put options to be abandoned.
Therefore, purely from an options perspective, a major volatility is expected today, with a higher probability of an upward move.
Considering the timing, since the settlement occurs a
BTC1,55%
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RitiChainvip:
🥲 waiting for reversal
All sectors closed in the green yesterday, further confirming our strategic strength 🔥
Supreme VIP: UNI long position profit of 4.7%
Advanced VIP: HYPE long position profit of 5.5%
Practical Training Camp: BTC long position profit of $1533
Intraday Short-term: BTC long position profit of $1645
Different products, the same steady returns. Follow us and seize the next market wave.
#Gate社区圣诞氛围感 #加密市场小幅回暖 #ETH走势分析
UNI4,24%
HYPE0,03%
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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Tom Lee posted that every time gold surges significantly, Bitcoin also follows with a big increase.
This proves that there is a correlation between gold's big rise and Bitcoin's big rise.
He previously predicted Ethereum's trend correctly, so will his prediction for Bitcoin this time also be accurate?
Will everyone choose to believe Lee?
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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Daily Market Analysis
Today is Christmas Day. First of all, I wish everyone a Merry Christmas, but unfortunately, there are no holidays in China. The Christmas atmosphere is still quite strong in first-tier cities, so everyone can feel it.
News
Yesterday, the S&P 500 index hit a new high during trading and closed near its peak, which also boosted cryptocurrencies to rise.
Last night, the fees for Bitcoin and Ethereum deviated significantly from normal values. As of the time of writing, the fees are still rising, and the reason is unknown. Basically, more mainstream coins have more long positio
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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Daily Market Analysis
Tonight is Christmas Eve. Although it is a Western holiday, we also pray for everyone to be happy and fulfilled every day, borrowing from the Western celebration.
Due to the influence of Christmas, the volatility of the US stock market and the cryptocurrency market has decreased, making the space for trading profits very small.
Demigod Demu Xia changed his previous bullish view yesterday, believing that the market has stopped rising and has entered a complex consolidation, waiting for the market to explore lower space before positioning long orders.
On the contrary, Insid
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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avisZekvip:
hit
The market in 2025 is truly hilarious.
Gold, silver, and precious metals continue to rise, while U.S. stocks are hitting new highs almost every day.
The price of Bitcoin has dropped from 110,000 to over 70,000 due to the tariff war.
At that time, everyone thought the crypto market was dead, but then it rose from 70,000 to over 120,000, and afterwards it continued to flood, covering a year's worth of gains.
When many people were saying 150,000 or 200,000 at 120,000, and saying 8,000 when Ethereum was at 5,000. As a result, they lost a lot.
People often say that one day in the crypto world i
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
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Daily Summary
The Bitcoin has transformed from a downward channel into a box-shaped oscillation. This indicates that the trend of the downward channel has been changed to an oscillation pattern, the movement trend has stopped, and a reversal may occur.
If Bitcoin finds support between 840 and 820, the probability of returning to 980 remains quite large, and it can at least reach around 940, which is a recent high point. Therefore, if there is another opportunity to buy at the bottom this week, there may be considerable upside potential. According to the current news, most whales are still firm
BTC1,55%
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The importance of emotions
The day before yesterday, Bitcoin was just flat. After ETH rose to 4700, the sentiment picked up, and since the afternoon, the altcoins started to surge wildly.
Since last night, BTC has only dropped slightly, and all cryptocurrencies are lackluster. After the sentiment dissipated, BTC only declined a bit, but altcoins experienced a landslide.
In fact, it also wants to indirectly indicate the importance of Bitcoin to the entire cryptocurrency market. Although the rise of altcoins is not necessarily related to BTC, if BTC falls, any positive news becomes meaningless.
BTC1,55%
ETH3,35%
SOL4,02%
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