FatYa888

The early morning Trump press conference was uneventful.
Trump kept blabbering and bragging, but he didn't say he would personally get involved. Instead, he left the tough talk to Defense Secretary Hegseth. However, his tough talk didn't have as much impact as Trump himself, so the market stayed stagnant. Just stop dragging it out and start the fight directly—quick victory to avoid further trouble for the crypto market and US stocks.
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The current situation is very clear.
Iran holds two cards: enriched uranium and the Strait of Hormuz, firmly controlling the initiative.
Trump is unwilling to admit it, stubbornly sticking to his guns, using all kinds of threats and intimidation, but nothing works. It’s very much like someone who’s overly confident in their crypto trading positions—continuing to hold their ground blindly, stubbornly refusing to back down.
As for oil prices, as long as they stay sideways for a period of time, there’s no need for them to rise. Maintaining sideways movement means everyone will be finished—B

Breaking News: U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Expectations Rise! Risk appetite fully rebounds, Bitcoin leads a crypto rally across the board. According to the latest from CoinDesk:
As the potential U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement continues to gain momentum, global risk appetite has significantly improved!
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Ceasefire could officially take effect on Monday
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Hope for reopening navigation through the Strait of Hormuz
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U.S. stocks and Asian markets are simultaneously boosted
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Bitcoin leads a sharp rally, driving mainstream coins like ETH and Solana higher across the board. Derivatives market also shows posi

Interest rate cut expectations fall short, can gold still rise?
Gold has recently been stuck in a tug-of-war. Sky Links Capital CEO Daniel Takieddine made a very direct statement:
“As market expectations for a Fed rate cut weaken, the upside potential for gold may be limited.”
📌 Core limiting factors:
1️⃣ Strong US labor data → US Treasury yields stay high → Non-yielding assets like gold come under pressure
2️⃣ Easing expectations of Middle East conflict → Ongoing diplomatic efforts lead markets to bet on de-escalation → Safe-haven demand weakens
3️⃣ Fed rate cut expectations cooling → Market

Breaking news from 10 minutes ago: Latest on US-Iran negotiations
On April 6, sources revealed that the final US-Iran ceasefire proposal includes Iran giving up nuclear weapons in exchange for sanctions relief and the release of frozen assets. The plan to end the hostilities in the Middle East needs to be agreed upon by Monday. If an agreement is reached, the plan will facilitate an immediate ceasefire, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and reach a final agreement within 15 to 20 days. The Pakistani Army Chief of Staff made phone calls with US Vice President Vance, Special Envoy Vitkov, and Iran’

#我的建议经验分享
This topic resonates with me. If there’s a “moment” that truly helped me understand the market, it was one morning after a liquidation—I was staring at the screen and suddenly realized: the market doesn’t care what you think; it only cares about what you do.
Regarding those three principles, my answers are:
1. The rule I will never break again: Always set a stop-loss
I used to think stop-losses were “cutting losses,” but I later understood that they are “buying insurance.” That liquidation order, if I had set a 5% stop-loss, the loss would have been no more than $500, but I thought

This week's cryptocurrency watchlist
$HYPE — Rumor has it that Hyperliquid's HIP-4 prediction market upgrade will go live within the next 1-2 weeks.
$PENDLE — Pendle hints that its PT fixed income product will expand to Solana.
KNTQ — Kinetiq will launch kHYPE v2 on April 6, a major upgrade to its HYPE liquidity staking token.
$POL — Polygon's Guiliano hard fork upgrade is expected to be released on April 8, which will improve network speed.
AAVE — Aave's proposal to ARFC for launching Aave Savings Rate (a fixed income product with an annual interest rate of 4.25%) has just been a

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The bear market has finally seen a significant positive development: the US "CLARITY Act" is highly likely to pass.
The importance of this bill is actually much greater than that of the previous genius bill. Currently, the market generally expects it to be implemented sometime between mid-April and May.
According to prediction markets, Polymarket assigns a 72% probability to this happening. This is no longer just an expectation but is being actively traded as a high-probability event.
Once passed, exchanges like Sesame are likely to be able to operate legally and register officially in the US,

By analyzing $ETH star lines, we can identify key short-term levels and future bear market bottom support points.
Let's look at Chart 1 first.
736 is the theoretical limit, but I believe traders are unlikely to push the price to such extremes. The real levels to watch in stages start above 1100. Currently, 1728 is in a monthly peak volume gap area, which theoretically needs to be filled. Further down are support levels at 1475, 1328, 1196, and 1125—these are support staircases where orders can be placed in stages.
Now, look at Chart 2, the star lines.
The decline has already reached the 7.5 l

Bear market bottoming $BTC , the US stock market can be used as an important indicator.
When will Bitcoin bottom out? Just focus on the major US stock indices; they can serve as key indicators. Bitcoin has now become a foreign market with liquidity overflow similar to the US stock market.
When US stocks are at high levels with tight liquidity and declining quietly, high-risk foreign markets like Bitcoin will react in advance, with capital withdrawing and liquidity tightening. It simply can't rise.
When US stocks release risk and start a new round of gains, Bitcoin will follow the US stoc

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The global liquidity cycle is approaching a breaking point
This chart shows the liquidity cycle of developed economies from 1965 to 2026:
Dangerous rebound in 2026: Currently (2026), the black solid line is in the process of bouncing back from the trough.
Key conclusion: Historically, when liquidity is at an extremely low point and attempts to rebound, the system is most vulnerable. Any major external shock (such as conflicts in the Middle East) at this time could interrupt the rebound, directly triggering a "dual crisis of credit and liquidity."
Those still dreaming of a big bull mark

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The Four-Year Cycle of Bitcoin
Following this pattern is simple—just look at the calendar.
By observing time, we can see the peak dates of each Bitcoin bull market cycle:
December 17, 2017; November 10, 2021; October 7, 2025.
And the bottom dates of each bear market cycle:
January 14, 2015; December 15, 2018; November 22, 2022.
Each is separated by roughly four years, so we define this as a four-year cycle.
Why does this cycle pattern exist?
Because Bitcoin is different from traditional assets. Stocks can be issued additionally, and currencies can be hyperinflated—both are cont

In early April 2026, the international crude oil market is experiencing a "storm-like" shakeout driven by extreme geopolitical premiums, with a rare "spot premium versus futures divergence" pattern—spot Brent prices have surged to $141.37 per barrel, hitting a new high since 2008, while futures have not fully caught up, with WTI front-month contracts around $111.5, and the spot-futures spread reaching about $30.
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1. Market Review: Volatility Throughout the Month, Extreme Distortion
In March 2026, the international crude oil market staged a rare rollercoaster:
First phase (early to mid-March

In the first quarter of 2026, gold experienced a rollercoaster market with "initial surge, then massive volatility, followed by deep correction," revealing a rare disconnect between short-term logic and long-term structure.
1. Market Review: Three Phases
Phase One (early January to January 28): Gold prices rose steadily, approaching a record $5,600 per ounce. At the start of the year, markets widely expected the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates. Coupled with U.S. military strikes against Venezuela igniting safe-haven demand, funds flooded into the market chasing higher prices.
P

Currently, the AI cryptocurrency sector is flourishing with many projects riding the hot trend, but few have solid logic and real-world applications.
Let's review the core logic of these popular tokens in the market:
TAO relies on subnetwork expansion and decentralized LLM training, along with expectations for grayscale spot ETFs—an established leader in the AI chain.
NEAR launched the AI-Intents framework, upgraded privacy sharding, and is awaiting Bitwise ETF approval; its ecosystem is moving toward AI agent development.
RENDER focuses on GPU computing power leasing, integrated with

In the short to medium term, gold should watch the 4700-4800 range as a profit-taking point, holding positions and waiting for a dip to buy back. It may reach above 4900, but with a "fish tail" pattern. It is expected that in April, there is a 70% chance that prices will range between 4100-4400. The long-term logic remains unchanged: reaching 6000 in the second half of the year.
I believe gold will hit 6000 in the second half of the year due to political infighting and macroeconomic issues. The uncontrolled national debt of 40 trillion yuan in the second half, and now paying interest on nati