SuperBrotherTrumpet

Q1: In times of big gains and big drops, what is the most important investment trap to watch out for?
In recent weeks, news can reverse every 15 minutes—during such intense volatility, being overly pessimistic or overly optimistic is inappropriate. The class specifically mentioned the "disposition effect" from behavioral finance: many investors (including institutional clients) can't resist cutting losses at the deepest decline, selling at the lowest point. Similarly, chasing after sharp gains today may also face a correction after news reverses again. It is recommended not to be fully in or

Bitcoin Trend Analysis:
Institutional Long-Short Ratio: 1:3, Bearish trend dominates
Retail Long-Short Ratio: 2:1, Retail investors are holding long positions
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Operational Tips:
Maintain short positions, stay short,
Achieve stable small and quick profits!
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Negotiation uncertainties are high; maintain a volatile market trend!

If the Strait of Hormuz truly opens up for "two weeks," does that mean the situation is easing?
My first reaction is: a short-term, limited opening is more like creating space for a longer, more controllable game rather than simply cooling down.
First, from Iran's perspective, a complete blockade would quickly drive up oil prices and drag the global economy into risk—something no party wants to see;
but on the other hand, fully restoring free navigation means giving up the biggest bargaining chip in hand.
Second, from the U.S. perspective, on one hand, it must prevent the Strait from being c

Today’s on-chain data
Institutional Bitcoin futures long-short ratio: 1:2
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Clearly bearish
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Compared to the past 7 days:
Short positions have significantly decreased, from 100 million to 44 million shorts.
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Long positions remain unchanged, at 20 million longs, with no significant change in holdings.
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This indicates:
Institutional bearish sentiment has decreased,
A trend reversal is imminent!
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Actions:
Reduce futures contract positions,
Primarily short positions.
If it rebounds to 67,400, open a short position first.
#加密市场行情震荡
The sideways trend

Go live, online

Institutions remain strongly bearish, with institutional Bitcoin short positions exceeding long positions by 10 million: 92 million
Clearly bearish.
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Institutional trading activity:
Between 70,000-72,000, institutions are heavily opening short positions,
Between 65,000-66,000, institutions are heavily opening long positions.
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Long and short positions have decreased compared to last week,
Indicating that institutional contract interest is waning.
But it remains significant.
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Strategy: Continue to open short positions around 68,000,
Take profit at 65,500-66,000.
#BTC能否守住6.5万美元？
Cannot hol

Current coin price 70500
Institutions continue bearish outlook
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Operation:
Continue holding short positions!

Nasdaq futures up 1.1%, Bitcoin followed with gains today.
Bitcoin institutional long/short ratio: 1:11
Institutional long positions closed significantly at 73,500.
Short positions also closed and reduced,
causing the long/short ratio to become extremely imbalanced.
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Operation:
Still a rebound market, continue holding short positions.
Open shorts at 73,500 to 75,000.
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Target profit-taking level: 69,000

Long-Short Ratio: 1:20
Institutions overwhelmingly hold short positions.
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The main reason is that longs are widely liquidating their positions, while shorts are only slightly covering, resulting in an imbalance between longs and shorts.
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The resistance levels are between 73,500 and 75,000.
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Trading suggestion: Continue opening short positions between 73,500 and 75,000, and hold your short positions!

3-13 Today's Data Analysis
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Long-Short Ratio: 1:7
Strongly bearish.
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Bitcoin rebounded to 71,500-72,000 to open short positions,
with an extreme upside target of 74,000.
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Today at 4 PM, Bitcoin options' maximum pain point is 69,000.
If it does not break below 69,000 today,
there will be increased volatility over the weekend.
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Trading Strategy: Short at 71,500-72,000

btc: Institutions remain strongly bearish today
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ETH
Net inflow clearly increases
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Institutions are showing initial signs of disagreement.
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Breaking through the 71,500 resistance level, continue to push higher,
Breaking below 68,000 will accelerate the decline.
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Trading suggestion:
Continue holding short positions
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Next Thursday at 2:30 AM, Powell's speech, the market turning point.
Stay bearish! Short!

March 11 Data
Still overwhelmingly bearish.
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Continue to hold short positions!
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The buying power above 70,000 is weakening,
while the amount opening short positions is increasing.
Market confidence remains insufficient.
🍎 In the short term, it's a rebound,
but it does not change the downward trend!

Bitcoin holdings data unchanged
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Continue to short

Contract single point, completed

March 9 Data
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Long/Short Ratio: 1:5
The leading advantage is absolute.
Overall, the outlook remains bearish.
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Net inflow in the past 24 hours is small,
This morning, Bitcoin dropped below 66,000
An institution opened a large long position near 65,700!
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Bitcoin rebounded,
But it doesn't change the original trend, continue to short!
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Short entry points and take profit points,
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3-8 Women's Day Bitcoin Trend Update
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Been shorting since the beginning of this year.
Today's data and direction:
Institutions still at 6:1,
Strongly bearish.
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Maintain the short position!
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Support level at 65,000
Can hold in the short term,
Still need to break 60,000 by April!
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Trend unchanged, continue holding short positions!
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Focused on making money, staying low-key

Since opening short at 74,000,
Up to now,
Institutions still strongly bearish on Bitcoin.
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Within 24 hours, there has been a net inflow,
But the bearish outlook and short positions remain unchanged.
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Resistance level at 70,600
Support level at 65,000.
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In April-May, Bitcoin broke below 60,000,
Market expectations of a new bottom remain unchanged.
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Current trading strategy:
Continue holding short positions!
Relax and enjoy the gains!
#加密市场小幅下跌