阿威论势

Evening Market Outlook
First look at the four-hour chart, after the previous wave pulled from around 70,400 up to near 73,100, the market did not continue to surge with increased volume, but instead repeatedly closed with small-bodied candles at high levels, indicating that selling pressure above has already emerged. Currently, the price still remains above 70,800, and the overall major structure has not broken down, but the upward momentum has clearly slowed, and the market has shifted from a one-sided rally to sideways consolidation at high levels. The four-hour chart is currently in a rec

Morning thoughts
On the daily chart structure, the overall trend is still within a box range. In the short term, any upward move is meeting resistance and being pressured. The candlesticks have closed with relatively long upper shadows for three consecutive days, indicating strong overhead pressure and quick pullbacks. The market is having difficulty holding above 73000, and the current box range still remains. On the hourly chart, it has started to pull back. There is a slight rebound in the morning—continue shorting.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin around 72400, target near 71000
Ethere

Evening Thoughts
From the current market situation, the four-hour chart still shows a high-level consolidation with a oscillating downward structure.
The rebound also shows some lower shadow lines, indicating that the current support structure is relatively strong.
The rebound力度 has been somewhat hindered, but after bottoming out, it has not shown further upward movement.
Currently, it is still under pressure at the 71,000 level, with indicators showing a high-level sticky MACD with a death cross risk, and the KDJ three-line death cross has already formed.
The market is now in a side

Morning Thoughts
The 4-hour cycle shows a clear trend, with Bollinger Bands continuously widening downward. The price has been under long-term pressure, staying below the middle band. Each rebound is met with resistance and a pullback, indicating that bullish momentum is extremely weak. The moving average structure is fully in a bearish alignment, with short- and medium-term moving averages moving downward in unison, blocking price rebounds layer by layer. The KDJ indicator has formed a death cross at high levels and continues to decline, with bearish momentum intensifying. The overall market

Evening Outlook
BTC: Today, after facing resistance from the high of 2147.58, it oscillated and pulled back, with the bears gradually gaining strength. The price dipped to around 2086.29, and short-term bearish momentum was clearly released. Currently, the price stabilizes around 2090, and market sentiment is becoming cautious, with selling pressure easing. From the chart perspective, the price retraced about 61 points from the high, and the 2086 area below has formed short-term support, with technical rebound demand gradually increasing.
Trading Suggestions:
Bitcoin: Buy around 67,600, target

Morning Thoughts
Currently, the market is consolidating at high levels with attempts to break out, but the short-term rebound continuation is hindered. On the four-hour chart, the candlesticks have strongly broken above the upper Bollinger Band, indicating an overbought condition and continuously guiding the market higher, with a bullish trend dominating. On the hourly chart, the market has shown strong upward momentum since last night, forming a clear bullish pattern. The Bollinger Bands are expanding ideally, and the market's momentum is very strong. In the short term, the KDJ indicator sh

Early Morning Thoughts
Trump issues a final ultimatum to Iran late at night: by 8 PM Eastern Time on April 6, the Strait of Hormuz must be opened; otherwise

Evening Thoughts
Currently, Bitcoin has pulled back and broken below the bearish flag pattern. The lower boundary of the flag has now turned into a resistance level.
If it re-enters the flag pattern range, it is likely to continue consolidating sideways. However, if it cannot break through the early session spike high, it will remain weak;
If it cannot re-enter the flag pattern and consolidates along the lower boundary, as long as it does not break below the illustrated low point, the decline will not accelerate. Once it effectively breaks down, it will test the 65,665 support.
Trading Suggest

Evening Market Outlook
The major index experienced a rapid plunge in the early morning, with Bitcoin dropping from around 68,600 to 66,100. Early deployment of short positions accurately captured this downward trend. Currently, the market is gradually stabilizing, with the key support at 66,000 holding effectively, and the bearish momentum has significantly weakened. The four-hour chart shows a bottoming and rebound with long lower shadows, breaking the downward trend on the hourly chart. The MACD bearish bars continue to shrink and turn positive, while the KDJ forms a bullish divergence wit

Morning Thoughts
Looking at the four-hour chart of Bitcoin, it previously formed a bullish engulfing pattern, with the price steadily rising. The overall bullish structure remains solid. The recent pullback is a normal correction after a rally and has not changed the dominant bullish pattern.
After consecutive gains, the market faces increased correction needs. The momentum of the bullish pattern has weakened, with the KDJ indicator converging from high levels downward. In the short term, there is still room for a pullback to gather strength.
Combined with easing tensions between the US and Ir

Morning thoughts
It's not that the market is bad; it's that you haven't found the right direction. It's not that you can't make money; it's that you haven't aligned with the right people. The moving average structure has completely broken down: the price has directly fallen below MA5/MA10/MA30, with all three moving averages turning downward, forming a standard bearish arrangement, and the short-term trend is entirely dominated by bears. Volume surges as prices drop sharply: the last large bearish candle accompanied by massive trading volume indicates that bulls are unable to support the pri

Evening Thoughts
From the current market situation, the recent pullback in the afternoon has been within expectations. Bitcoin has failed to break through the 68,000 level twice already, with clear resistance above. The double top pattern is starting to form, and combined with the dead cross on the indicators, the bearish signals are quite consistent.
Moreover, this decline was accompanied by volume, indicating a genuine sell-off rather than a false dip, which suggests market sentiment is indeed leaning toward bearishness. Looking at the daily chart, two consecutive long upper shadows clearly

Morning Thoughts
Yesterday's overall trend was a sharp rise followed by a pullback. During the Asian session, it rose again and then declined in the US session. It surged from a low of 657 in the morning to a high of 681 before facing resistance. The lowest point in the early morning was 662. Bulls and bears are evenly matched, and in the short term, it is moving within a range.
On the four-hour chart, after a series of adjustments, the overall trend remains somewhat weak. However, this pattern has not continued. The short-term Bollinger Bands are flat and moving forward. Looking at the attach

Evening Outlook
The Federal Reserve signals a slowdown in employment growth, and tariff inflation is viewed as a one-time shock. The market has fully retracted rate hike bets and is beginning to price in rate cuts this year. Liquidity easing expectations continue to rise. After a rapid correction, the current market is entering a consolidation and recovery phase. On the 15-minute chart, both BTC and ETH show long lower shadows indicating potential bottom signals. Trading volume has decreased with the correction, suggesting diminishing short-term bearish momentum. Bullish sentiment is starting

Evening Market Outlook
Bitcoin/Ethereum early session long ideas around 65,500 to 66,000 and 1,960 to 1,980 successfully pushed up to around 67,900 and 2,075. Currently, after a rally, the market has pulled back slightly. Watch the short-term support levels at 65,500 and 1,980. If support holds, further rebounds and upward movements are likely. However, the short-term rally is also influenced by external news, with resistance near 2,080 and 68,000, suggesting a possible pullback. The 4-hour candlestick chart shows a strong rebound from early morning, with multiple consecutive bullish candles,

Morning thoughts
From the market perspective, the 4-hour cycle shows increased volume breaking below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a shift from the high-level consolidation pattern. This morning, the price dropped sharply, with the lowest touching 64,918. Currently, all cycle moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and the price is under the short-term moving averages. The KDJ indicator shows a death cross downward, indicating ample bearish momentum. Short-term rebounds are weak, and the downtrend is clear.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin around 67,000, target near 65,500
Ethereum arou

Evening Outlook
During the day, the price continued to increase to around 69,100, then pulled back and declined to around 66,800. The daily chart shows two consecutive bearish candles with a downward crossover, but there is still room for upward movement. Entering at a high point of the rebound is advisable.
Trading suggestions:
Bitcoin around 67,500 with a target near 66,000
Altcoin around 2,040 with a target near 1,950

Morning Thoughts
Currently, the head and shoulders pattern on the chart is clearly visible, with a clear trend direction and no suspense. The four-hour timeframe shows a continuous volume-driven decline from the head and shoulders pattern, directly breaking below the middle and lower bands of Bollinger Bands. Moving averages have also turned downward, forming a head and shoulders arrangement. The MACD remains below the zero line with increasing volume, indicating that the downward momentum has not shown obvious signs of exhaustion. The overall structure has entered a weak downward channel.
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