Ahao001

The main position is empty, reduce leverage.
There isn't much room above; on the 4-hour chart, there's a strong resistance zone between 70,500 and 72,000, which can be used for shorting.

The main position is empty, so reduce leverage.
There isn’t much room above; on the 4-hour chart, there’s a high-quality pressure/resistance zone between 70,500 and 72,000, which can be used to add to the short.

Assuming Bitcoin's rebound point is at 76,000, based on the 60k starting point for BTC, then the drop from 76,000 to 65,000 is the first wave of decline. The movement from 65,000 to the present is a rebound against the decline from 76,000 to 65,000. Currently, this rebound has met the basic requirements, and after it ends, BTC will continue to decline. This is the scenario depicted by the blue route in the chart, and also the route I believe has a higher probability.
Yesterday, some friends mentioned that since BTC has not fallen below 65,000 after reaching 4.2, an even higher peak above 76,00

Hello everyone, I am Ah Hao. We are currently in the mid-stage of a bear market. Assuming 76,000 is the rebound endpoint from 60k, and then another wave of decline similar to the 97,900→60k drop occurs, then the most intense wave of decline in the bear market will be basically complete. At that point, the total decline from 126,000 will have reached 80%-90%.
But in a bear market, you can't just look at the decline and price; another important dimension is time. If in Q3 2026, BTC drops to 52,000 or even 48,000, we will enter the late stage of the bear market. This period may manifest in variou

Hey guys, at 8:30 PM tonight, the U.S. March unemployment rate data will be released.
Most financial markets are closed.
It seems only the crypto market is open for trading tonight, haha.
Crypto traders should be prepared for the U.S. unemployment rate announcement.
Due to the Qingming Festival, the A-shares market will be closed from April 4th to April 6th.
Due to Good Friday, the U.S. stock market will be closed tonight on April 3rd.
Tonight at 8:30 PM, only the crypto market is still open for trading.
Get ready for the unemployment rate data!

The two trends in Bitcoin Chart 2 are based on 76,000 as the rebound endpoint:
Red: Starting from 76,000, a new downtrend begins. Recently, BTC hit a new high above 60,000 and a low below 65,000 (e.g., 62,000–63,000), completing the first wave of decline. Then it rebounds against the first wave, and after the rebound ends, a second wave of decline begins, which will break below 60,000.
Blue: Breaks through 60,000 directly and continues downward.
Therefore, the main task moving forward is to short on rallies, of course, I am referring to trend shorts.

Gold retreated last night after encountering resistance in our observation zone. The next two days require extra attention.
If the blue route shown in the chart is valid, then no new highs above 4800 are allowed, and the pullback starting at 4800 should be sufficiently long and deep. If the pullback only lasts one or two days and then breaks above 4800 again, gold will follow the red route.
Assuming 4800 is the end of the first wave rebound starting from 4100, then gold will complete a pullback early next week and still have a subsequent upward move of similar magnitude between 4100 and 4800.

If we consider the rebound from 4100 as a simple three-wave upward movement, then the strength of the current first part will directly determine the overall height of this rebound:
If gold cannot break through the blue zone shown this week, then the first wave of upward movement is likely to end, followed by a correction targeting the first wave. After the correction, there will be another upward move of the same level. It’s important to note that if the blue zone is not broken, this subsequent correction could be quite deep, which will be a good opportunity for us to enter long positions.
If

ETH's overall structure remains unchanged from yesterday and continues to follow the established path. The rebound from 1748 has entered its final stage; the earliest point for a rebound this week or next week could be the end or a turning point for market acceleration.
The only current concern is whether there will be a new high above 2386. Moving forward, pay attention to two things:
1. After 8:00 AM on April 3rd, no new lows below 1940 are allowed; otherwise, there is a high probability that no new highs will appear later. Even if they do, it will only be a quick spike to drain liquidity ab

ETH has been rebounding for 53 days since 1748. Currently, the rebound is nearing its end, and a reversal point may occur this week or next week. After ending the rebound from 1748, ETH will continue to decline, and 1748 cannot serve as a bottom.
The overall approach remains consistent with the view in Sunday’s video. The short-term ETH movements are divided into two scenarios as shown in the chart:
Red: Accelerated upward movement in recent days with no significant correction. Under this path, there is a high probability of another peak above 2386 (based on BTC breaking through 76,000; even i

If BTC can push a strong rally this week on 3/30, there is a high probability that a new high above 76,000 will appear. Once it breaks through 76,000, the rebound can end at any time, entering a new downward trend. If the price does not fall below 65,000 in the next two days, the probability of the red route increases significantly.
If the subsequent days see weak upward momentum or a fall below 65,000 again, then 76,000 may become the highest point of this rebound. There could be an acceleration point for a sharp decline this week or next week, which will be a good opportunity for us to short

What’s next for gold? As shown in the chart—a pullback / a new low, then continued upward movement. If you’ve been following my pace, you won’t be worried about whether there are lower points later, because yesterday you already liquidated your positions and waited with me for the buying opportunity in mid to late April. When the time comes, jump in and make a big profit!
Whether there are lower points or not has nothing to do with whether you can profit later. In a confirmed upward trend, no matter where you enter, you will ultimately make a profit—it's just a matter of how much. The only thi

In an ideal scenario, the decline starting from 76,000 would be viewed as a pullback, and after the pullback ends, there would be another upward movement. The entire rebound that started from 60,000 would end in late March or early April, followed by a decline.
However, everyone should pay attention to one issue—BTC experiences numerous false moves before each major market trend begins. This includes but is not limited to deep pullbacks that make people think there are no higher highs and it will drop directly, rallies close to 76,000 that fail to break the high and drop immediately, rallies t

3/25 Bitcoin Market Analysis
As shown in the chart, if BTC's 67,360 on 3.23 serves as the phase low point, there is a high probability of a subsequent high point exceeding 76,000, with 79,000-80,000 as a possible target level. Key focus should be on the price reaction when BTC runs through the week of 4.1. According to the script, the highest point of the 4.1 weekly K-line will be the rebound endpoint for BTC's rally from 60,000, after which BTC will accelerate downward.
The difference between the red and blue scenarios lies only in whether there will be another low point below 67,360. The lon

BTC 3/24 Market Analysis
This week there is a high probability of concluding the rebound that started at 67360. The longer the current sideways consolidation continues, the greater the probability of another high point above 71800 in the coming days. If following the red route, around 72800 could be the potential endpoint.
If there is an accelerated decline tonight or a complete retracement of all gains, the rebound may have already ended. Excessive downside will increase the probability of following the blue route.
Operationally, look for a rebound to continue adding short positions.

3/23 BTC Market Analysis
If the decline stops this week and rebounds to break through 70,000, then the likelihood of following the red route afterward will be high. If the price continues to fall or the rebound is weak, it will increase the probability of the blue route.
The red and blue routes ultimately lead to the same destination; the only difference is whether there is a high point above 76,000 before dropping below 60,000. If the price follows the red route later on, there will still be very good shorting opportunities. I don't believe 60,000 can serve as a bear bottom—it might not even

BTC will continue to fall to the Gann time windows of 3.24/3.30 after the rebound from the 76,000-68,700 decline ends in the coming days.
The stronger the current rebound momentum and the longer it lasts, the lower the probability of the blue path.
Trading strategy: After identifying the rebound endpoint, add to short positions. Later, when "time-price resonance" occurs within the Gann time window, close shorts and go long.
Trading is actually quite simple: recognize the trend clearly, understand the levels, develop a good strategy, and combine knowledge with action.

I believe BTC will complete the decline starting from 76,000 as early as next week, or at the latest by the 3.30 weekly candle. The magnitude of this decline will determine which path shown in the chart it follows.
Since BTC broke through 74,000, I've been consistently pouring cold water on the situation, repeatedly reminding everyone that this is only a rebound. After the rebound ends, it will continue to decline. Even if the rebound magnitude expands, the first wave of rebound has already entered its final phase, followed by a decline of the same magnitude.
The most important thing when form

Today's short-term trading focuses on the amplitude between the 12-hour green and yellow lines. Use the green line for support and the yellow line for taking profits. There will be a pause near the yellow line, creating a short-term long opportunity. Follow the direction of the MACD dual lines for short-term trades in that same direction. Once the 4-hour MACD crosses the zero line, it signals a potential bottom. Therefore, regardless of perspective, the bottoming occurs from Saturday to Sunday, followed by a rebound from Monday to Wednesday next week.
The expectation that BTC will reach 78,000