PieCircleNOVADiary

Current negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, Middle East geopolitics, and U.S. military movements are intensively fermenting, ⚠️ news fluctuations far exceed technical trends #btc #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #eth

Goals don't make you float, conceding goals doesn't make you collapse, enjoy the moment, move on to the next game #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #加密市場回升

$ETH 4/11 Evening Precise Analysis of Double Bottom | Flag Pattern Oscillation, W Bottom Breakout, Key Level Decision, Mainly Longs, Cautious Shorts 📊
📊 Main Direction
On Saturday, range-bound consolidation oscillated; within the flag-pattern structure, it has been moving in a tight range. Internally, a W-bottom has formed and it has broken above the 2233 neckline;
The key to watch is the breakout over the upper boundary of the flag pattern + the 2273 previous high—if it breaks, then look for a new high at 2312;
If 2233 is held, it’s relatively strong; if it fails, it weakens and pulls back.

$BTC 4/11 Big Pancake Evening Precise Analysis | Range Oscillation, Key Level Choices, Shakeout Before Direction, Low Longs Primary, High Shorts Supplementary 📊
✅Main Direction
In a range-bound oscillation structure, if 72281 is not broken, there is no room for downside; a breakout of 73288 opens up upward space. The funding rate is bearish, and the market may first shake out before choosing direction. Pullbacks for low longs are primary; for rebounds that fail to break the previous high, high shorts are supplementary.
✅ Low Longs (Primary Strategy)
• Entry 1: 72566–72700 Firm support and go

First three hours: Optimistic expectations heat up
Iranian media reports "U.S. agrees to unfreeze assets + Lebanon ceasefire, negotiations may begin the same day."
Last three hours: White House denies unfreezing Iran's assets, meaning:
The "preconditions" for U.S.-Iran negotiations have not been met, the probability of negotiations starting has significantly decreased, and the risk of geopolitical conflict escalation has resurfaced.
The market's previous "peace dividend" expectations have been quickly revised, safe-haven sentiment has rapidly recovered, and risk appetite has been suppr

$BTC 4/10 Precise Evening Analysis of Bitcoin | Current price 73,035, facing resistance at high levels, 15-minute level oscillation and consolidation, multi-cycle bullish, mainly pulling back to buy low, high-altitude shorting as a supplement
Main direction: continuation of medium-term bullish trend, short-term high-level resistance oscillation, moderate volume, mainly buying low on pullbacks, high-altitude shorting as a supplement
✅ Low buy (main strategy, buy low on pullback support for rebound)
• Entry: 72,600–72,800, add positions in batches after stabilization (support area near current p

4/10 Bitcoin Precise Evening Analysis | Current price 73,035, high-level resistance, 15-minute level oscillation and consolidation, multi-cycle bullish strength, dip-buying on pullbacks, high-altitude shorting as auxiliary
Main direction: continuation of medium-term bullish trend, short-term high-level resistance oscillation, moderate volume, dip-buying on pullbacks, high-altitude shorting as auxiliary
✅ Low buy (main strategy, buy on pullback support for rebound)
• Entry: 72,600–72,800, accumulate on stabilization (support zone near current price, confirm buy on pullback)
• Target: 73

U.S. unadjusted CPI annual rate 🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
CPI≈3.3% (meets expectations, neutral)
• Logic: A rebound in inflation meets expectations, rate-cut expectations remain, the market is choppy and digesting, with no trend-driven momentum
#Gate上線Pre-IPOs #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #Gate現貨衍生品雙雙衝進全球前三 #btc #eth

✅The midday idea for the second coin was perfectly realized
✅1. Main strategy: High altitude (speculative rebound with pressure and pullback)
• Entry: in batches at 2200-2210
• Target: 2160-2170, break below to watch 2120
• Stop loss: 2240
• Realization: The midday price rebounded to the 2200-2210 range under pressure, then fell back as expected to the 2160-2170 support zone, short positions were perfectly closed for profit, accurately hitting the first target!
✅2. Auxiliary strategy: Long positions at low levels (buying on support with slight rebound)
• Entry: stabilize and stop falling at 21

April 10 Midday Bitcoin Analysis Strategy, 100% Accurate Execution!
Midday core judgment: Rebound to the lower band, 15-minute overbought pressure, multi-cycle death cross, mainly rebound high and short, secondary pullback low long, perfectly matches today's market trend!
✅ Main high short strategy: Perfect hit, profit secured
• Entry zone: 72000-72337, staggered short positions
• Actual trend: Price rebounded above 72000 under pressure, precisely triggered entry conditions
• Target zone: 71707-71500, break below to 71200
• Profit realization: Price pulled back to around 71707 at t

• Trump makes a tough stance: warns Iran to stop charging tolls to oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, emphasizing that oil will flow normally, short-term easing of geopolitical risks
• CPI Outlook: previous 2.40% | expected 3.3%, tonight's data will directly determine the Federal Reserve's rate cut pace, the biggest turning point in the crypto market
Core logic: Trump's speech hedges geopolitical risks, tonight's CPI is the biggest macro event for the second quarter in the crypto world, directly deciding whether to cut rates in June, and is key to the medium-term trend of Bitcoin and altcoin

CPI unseasonally adjusted CPI annual rate 🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
CPI < 3.3% (below expectations, positive)
• Logic: Inflation rebound weaker than expected, Fed rate cut expectations increase, dollar weakens, risk assets surge
CPI ≈ 3.3% (as expected, neutral)
• Logic: Inflation rebound in line with expectations, rate cut expectations maintained, market consolidates, no trend in the market
Scenario C: CPI > 3.3% (above expectations, negative)
• Logic: Inflation exceeds expectations with a rebound, Fed rate cut delayed, dollar strengthens, risk assets come under pressure
#Gate上線Pre-IPOs #Gate廣場四月發帖挑戰 #btc #

$ETH 4/10 Bitcoin Afternoon Analysis
Pullback support, 15-minute weak consolidation, multi-cycle slight weakness, mainly rebound to sell high, pullback low to buy more
✅ High level (main strategy, betting on rebound pressure and fall back)
• Entry: 2200–2210 in batches (15-minute Bollinger middle band resistance + intraday rebound pressure zone, sell again after stagnation)
• Target: 2160–2170 (15-minute lower band support + previous platform dense trading zone), break to see 2120
• Stop loss: 2240 (breakthrough intraday rebound high, fall-back structure invalid, strict stop loss)

$BTC 4/10 Bitcoin Midday Analysis
Pullback to the lower band, 15-minute overbought pressure, multi-cycle death cross, mainly rebound with high shorting, pullback to the low side for additional support
✅ High altitude (main strategy, betting on overbought + death cross retreat)
• Entry: 72000–72337 in batches (15-minute midline + upper band pressure zone, stagnation and then short)
• Target: 71707–71500 (lower band support + intraday low area), break below to watch 71200
• Stop loss: 72500 (break above upper band, invalidating the correction structure, strict stop loss)
✅ Low buy (a

Combining the analysis from the evening of April 9th and the market data at 10:45 on April 10th, this short-term trading idea for Bitcoin has been accurately realized.
1. Long position realization (current price directly above the main idea)
• Entry verification: Nighttime suggestion to lightly enter the position in the 2170-2180 range, with the market bottom touching 2156.00 (close to the lower boundary of the entry zone), then quickly rebounding. The entry point fully covers the suggested zone, consistent with the operation guideline of "entering lightly at the current price."
• Target achie

April 9 Evening Analysis of the Second Candle:
Long positions (buy now at current price, main idea)
Entry: 2170–2180 (can enter lightly at current price)
Stop loss: 2140 (break below invalidates rebound)
Target: 2210 → 2240
Short positions (abandon chasing shorts, wait for rebound to act)
Rebound: 2230–2250 consider light short positions
Stop loss: 2270
Target: 2200 → 2170
1 hour: declining with decreasing volume, selling pressure exhausted
• RSI at low level turning upward, indicating oversold rebound demand
• 4 hours still weak, but short-term conditions do not support further sharp decline

April 9 Bitcoin Evening Analysis
The 4-hour midline remains unbroken, the bullish structure is still intact; it is in the midline contest zone, short-term oscillation leaning bearish, mainly trading high and low.
✅ Clear evening strategy
✅ Bullish approach
Entry: 70,400–70,650 in batches
Stop loss: below 70,300
Target: 71,000 → 71,500
✅ Bearish approach (only rebound trades)
Entry: 71,200–71,500
Stop loss: above 71,800
Target: 70,800 → 70,500
📈 Technical analysis
Key levels
Resistance: first resistance 71,000–71,300 (7-day moving average); strong resistance 71,800–72