龙晨聊趋势

Given the current situation in the Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook is highly likely to remain under downward pressure and trade on the weaker side. The U.S. military blockade will begin at 22:00 on the 13th Beijing time. The market has shifted from “ceasefire trading” to “conflict repricing.” Bitcoin has pulled back from above $73,000 to around $70,500, and long positions have been liquidated heavily. Crude oil prices surged by more than 10% to $105 per barrel, exerting downward pressure on crypto assets through three channels: pushing up inflation expectations, weakening the li

The overall intraday tone is still corrective. Big cake is consolidating within a certain range around 70,600-71,200, and so far neither bulls nor bears have tested key levels. As for Ethereum, its price action is consistent with the release, recovering to around 2207, meeting resistance and pulling back, then dropping as low as around 2181 before rebounding. The short positions laid out earlier in the morning are still being held, continuing to look for whether key support will break.
From the current market, trading volume is relatively sluggish. The bulls and bears are in a consolidation ph

The current market shows that Bitcoin's key resistance is around 70,450, with a critical support level nearby. The market's second surge in volume has not led to a breakdown. During the daytime session, there was a slight rebound, and now it has again recovered to around 71,200. It has reached near a key resistance level, so you can continue to try short positions to see if there is a continuation of the breakdown. #加密市场回升 $BTC $ETH

Looking back at the early morning market, the overall trend remains weak with a volatile sideways structure that is gradually declining. Bitcoin's midnight rebound peaked around 71,500 before facing resistance and falling back. The overall pattern shows a decline and probing lower, currently holding steady around 70,600 with sideways consolidation. Ethereum, following Bitcoin's lead, repeatedly tested key support levels, faced resistance on rebounds, and fell back from around 2,220. It is now fluctuating near 2,190. The high rebound levels of Bitcoin and Ethereum also align with the resistance

Reviewing this week's market trend, early-week prices showed a phased rebound and upward movement, with the market once rising to the 70,000 level before facing resistance and pulling back, showing a downward trend. During the early hours, the lowest point was around 67,700 before stopping the decline. As the US-Iran war temporarily paused, the bulls saw increased volume and pushed higher, briefly recovering to around 72,800 before facing resistance and pulling back. Throughout the week, the market maintained a phase of upward exploration and rallying, and over the weekend, the bulls increased

Early morning market rebound, Bitcoin's price rose to around 73,800 near the major downward trend line, facing resistance and pulling back. After consolidating at high levels, the overall relative value entered a correction phase. It temporarily dropped to the intraday low point on Friday and is currently oscillating around 71,500. Ethereum showed a late weekend rally pattern, pushing higher, once reaching 2,330 before facing resistance and pulling back. Severe selling pressure at high levels caused a quick dip to around 2,210 intraday. After we closed out losses on short positions overnight,

The evening market continues to volume upward, with Bitcoin approaching the downward trend line and encountering some resistance. Ethereum maintains a continuous rebound structure, currently with bullish volume pushing above the 2300 level. We entered short positions on Friday evening with a breakout above 2280, taking a quick loss and exiting; currently, we hold long positions expecting further upward movement.
In the current pattern, after a strong upward structure over the weekend, Bitcoin's rebound volume is still hindered near the major trend line, and the market cannot extend the bullish

The overall market over the weekend remains in a consolidation phase with decreasing volume. Bitcoin's intraday dip bottomed near 72,400 before rebounding, and it has now recovered to around 72,800, fluctuating sideways. The overall trend is still in a weekend consolidation stage with reduced volume. Ethereum's movement is similar to Bitcoin's, with a short-term dip to around 2,227 followed by a rebound. It has recently recovered to about 2,250 but faces resistance again. The overall market continues to show a consolidating pattern, and short-term trading should continue to focus on sideways m

It’s already the weekend, and trading volume has once again fallen into a sluggish state. For Bitcoin, yesterday early-morning, the bulls increased their volume at the key node and kept pushing higher, probing upward—currently, the price has been lifted to around the 73,500 level and is meeting resistance and pulling back, and it is now consolidating near 72,700. As for Ethereum, its price action is consistent with Bitcoin, but the bulls’ recapture strength is not strong; it has not tried to break above the 2,060 level again. It has turned bearish again for adjustment, and there is still some

Reviewing the intraday market, Bitcoin opened with a bullish surge, breaking through resistance levels and pushing higher, with the price briefly spiking to around 73,100 before consolidating. During the day, it retraced in a correction pattern, with the price temporarily dipping and then rebounding strongly, reaching a low near 71,300 before rallying again. After the US stock market opened in the evening, bullish volume increased, pushing the price up to around 73,255 before facing resistance and pulling back. Currently, it is oscillating around 72,600 in a sideways consolidation.
Ethereum,

The CPI release has a limited impact; overall, the focus remains on whether the key structure of the market can break through. Currently, in terms of the bulls reclaiming, there is no further continuation. In the short term, there is still room for pressure and a pullback. The trading strategy remains to continue favoring long positions at higher levels. #加密市场回升 $BTC $ETH

The afternoon market overall remains in a stage of short-term bearish volume decline, with Bitcoin currently retracing to around 71,300 to halt the decline. The market has shown a temporary rebound and surge, with the relative price rising sharply to around 72,100. In the short term, there has been no further recovery in volume. Regarding Ethereum, it has recently bottomed out around 2,180 after a short-term pullback and is now moving higher, currently fluctuating around 2,210, with no further continuation observed.
Looking at the current chart, the four-hour chart previously recovered to high

Tonight at 8:30 PM, the key CPI data will be released soon, and market sentiment is tense, with both longs and shorts waiting for the final direction to be determined.
There is a clear divergence between expectations and previous values. Regardless of the outcome, it is highly likely to trigger a wave of rapid volatility. Prepare risk controls in advance and avoid blindly holding large positions for speculation.

Opportunities always favor those who are prepared. Following the trend after the data is released is more stable than pre-judging in advance.
Stay aligned with a clear strateg

The overall trend from the morning until noon was still a correction pattern, with Bitcoin bottoming out at around 71,500 before rebounding, and then rising to around 72,300 to face resistance. The intraday white chart's fluctuation was only about 800 points. Regarding Ethereum, after an upward spike in the early session, it generally showed a weak structure, with multiple attempts to test the 2180 level being resisted, forming a short-term resistance level. Currently, it is in a sideways downward oscillation, preparing for a correction that leans toward weakness. As for real trading positions

Ethereum rebounded to around 2250 in the early morning but faced resistance and pulled back. In the short term, it dipped to around 2180 for a rebound, currently maintaining around 2200 with sideways consolidation. On the four-hour chart, focus is on whether the short-term break of the midline will lead to continued bearishness. Currently, there is heavy selling pressure at high levels, upward movement lacks volume, and the MACD fast and slow lines have already formed a death cross. The bullish momentum histogram is shrinking, the midline is gradually flattening, and the RSI has turned downwar

Early morning Bitcoin shows a "bottoming out, rebound, and new high" trend. After finding support at the low of 70,428 during midnight, the price gradually moved higher, then accelerated upward, breaking through the 72,000 level, with a high of around 73,128, setting a new high for this round of rally. In the early morning, it slightly retreated to around 72,000 for consolidation. Throughout the rally, the low was raised from 70,428 to above 72,000, and the high broke through 72,377 to reach 73,128. The bullish momentum continued, with a small retracement during the session. Regarding Ethereum

Reviewing the intraday market, Bitcoin overall shows a "bottoming out and rebounding, narrow-range consolidation" trend. The price declined after facing resistance at yesterday's high of 72,858, with a shock downward, touching a low of 70,428 in the afternoon, then gaining support and gradually rebounding. The afternoon rally pushed the price back to around 7,100 for consolidation, with a retest in the evening dropping again to around 70,400 to halt the decline and give some rebound strength. The entire day exhibits a V-shaped pattern of first falling then rising, with the low of 70,428 not br

The intraday rebound lacks strength. After the US stock market opened in the evening, it once again fell below the 71,000 level. Overall, the market is still relatively weak in terms of how it’s trading. At present, it hasn’t yet given further pullback to test and probe the suppression/pressure ahead of time at 70,300. Going into the evening, keep an eye on whether the overall trend shows a top-to-bottom conversion, to judge the relative strength of bulls versus bears. In terms of execution, going forward it’s still best to continue holding a bearish outlook.
For BTC (the big coin), short near